The Mets won last night in the pouring rain, as you know. Justin Turner had two more doubles and two more RBIs, raising his OPS for the season to a sterling small-sample .885, best among the five men who have played second base this season for the Mets.
It seems fashionable now to come out and say, “Oh, well we knew all along that Turner was probably the Mets’ best option at second base,” but in a MetsBlog poll taken on March 16, only 7.89 percent of readers felt Justin Turner deserved the bulk of playing time. And in an Amazin’ Avenue poll taken the next day, Turner wasn’t even included — probably because he (rightfully) didn’t seem a very likely option at that point. So who was it saying all along that Turner was probably the Mets’ best option at second base?
But before I celebrate too much, I should note a few things: Most importantly, Turner probably won’t rock the .885 OPS all season. It fact, it’s downright unlikely. You might even say he’s crushing the ball over a tiny 52 plate-appearance sample and that though he looks great right now, lots of players have looked great in their first go ’round in the bigs only to wind up floundering back in the Minors by the end of the season.* There’s reason to believe in Turner based on his history of strong hitting in the Minors, but let’s not anoint him the second coming of Chase Utley just yet.
Second: Despite the best intentions of the Justin Turner Lobby, the Mets’ front office probably played the second-base situation the right way, given the personnel and Brad Emaus’ Rule 5 status. Even though Turner’s Triple-A stats were more impressive than Emaus’ due to park and league factors, the only way the Mets could continue to evaluate Emaus was to keep him on the big-league roster. They did, and after a couple of rough weeks they determined he was not special enough to hold on to for the full season.
It seemed like they pulled the trigger a bit too quickly at the time, and Sandy Alderson admitted that they might not have cut Emaus if the Mets were winning a few more games. But Daniel Murphy’s not-terrible defense at second combined with Emaus’ underwhelming adjustment to Major League pitching obviously made the decision easier. Emaus is back to crushing the ball in the Pacific Coast League now and still has a chance to be a productive Major Leaguer, but it seems unlikely he’ll be so much better than Turner to have merited sticking with him through his struggles.
*- Remember when Luis Hernandez killed it for a couple of weeks last year? Remember when someone unironically reported that Luis Hernandez would be the Mets starting second baseman in 2011? Luis Hernandez has a .518 OPS in Triple-A.