SIERA missed

At Baseball Prospectus, Colin Wyers explains why the site is abandoning its ERA estimator SIERA and details some of the failures of that stat and xFIP compared to FIP and plain-old ERA. It’s a dense read, but worth the effort. It’s a good reminder that all the best efforts to assess baseball teams and players are always works in progress. It’s fun — and valuable, in my opinion — to stay up on the latest thinking, but if you want to cite any one stat as gospel, you should remember that there’s a pretty good chance it’ll go out of vogue within a couple of years.

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