Is this really happening again?

Join in the new debate: “Should the Mets claim Manny Ramirez?”

No. Thanks for joining us on another edition of Simple Answers to Stupid Questions.

Billy Pilgrim, comments section here.

First of all: So it goes.

Now that we’ve got that out of the way, I’ll point out that it’s not a stupid answer. Or really even that stupid of a question, just kind of an irritating one. If the Mets were really anywhere close to contention and shouldering Jeff Francoeur’s “offense” in a corner outfield spot, with Jason Bay looking more and more like he won’t be back this seaosn, then yeah, it’d be worth at least considering picking up Manny, his outstanding bat, and all the significantly less outstanding things that go along with them.

But it’s not going to happen, so it’s not really even a conversation worth having. No way the Mets are going to take on the salary or the headache. Would I rather see Manny man a corner outfield spot for the Mets the rest of the way than Francoeur? Yes. But I’d also rather see Lucas Duda, Nick Evans, Chris Carter or our summer intern Adam, and all those guys might actually offer the club something in the future.

During the Bob Ojeda chat last night, some guy kept asking if the Mets should or would get Manny. I was moderating and I didn’t put the question through. I could have, I guess, but there were many more interesting questions — I try to avoid the transaction questions — and I didn’t want to open up the whole can of Manny nonsense.

The guy kept going, though, and kept getting progressively angrier, eventually naming Jeff Wilpon as the man responsible for his question not being put through to Ojeda.

If he could have seen the real-life chat environs, he would have witnessed me and Bob Ojeda sitting in the SNY Newsroom, in the bowels below the SNY studio, chatting with Gary Apple and a couple of show producers and watching the game. Bob ate nachos as I fired questions at him and transcribed. It’s about the least conspiratorial process imaginable.

Nineteenth-century ethical allegory seems vaguely pertinent to current Mets situation

A shipowner was about to send to sea an emigrant ship. He knew that she was old, and not overwell built at the first; that she had seen many seas and climes, and often had needed repairs. Doubts had been suggested to him that possibly she was not seaworthy. These doubts preyed upon his mind, and made him uphappy; he thought that perhaps he ought to have her thoroughly overhauled and refitted, even though this should put him to great expense. Before the ship sailed, however, he succeeded in overcoming these melancholy reflections. He said to himself that she had gone safely through so many voyages and weathered so many storms, that it was idle to suppose that she would not come safely home from this trip also. He would put his trust in Providence, which could hardly fail to protect all these unhappy families that were leaving their fatherland to seek for better times elsewhere. He would dismiss from his mind all ungenerous suspicions about the honesty of builders and contractors. In such ways he acquired a sincere and comfortable conviction that his vessel was thoroughly safe and seaworthy; he watched her departure with a light heart. and benevolent wishes for the success of theexiles in their strange new home that was to be; and he got his insurance money when she went down in mid=ocean and told no tales.

What shall we say of him? surely this. that he was verily guilty of the death of those men. It is admitted that he did sincerely believe in the soundness of his ship; but the sincerity of his conviction can in nowise help him, because he had no right to believe on such evidence as was before him. He had acquired his believe not by honestly earning it in patient investigation, but by stifling his doubts.

– William K. Clifford, The Ethics of Belief.

Hat tip to Carl Sagan.

Mets positively brimming with terrible, delusional, intransigent millionaires

Instead, Ruben Tejada started at second base for the fifth straight game. Castillo isn’t a starting player for the first time in his career and it isn’t sitting well. He told the Daily News that he and his agents, Sam and Seth Levinson, will try to get him into a situation where he can play every day again.

“I think we will talk to them about that,” Castillo said. “I need to be in a different kind of situation. I don’t know what they want to do. I want an opportunity to play, and if it is here, then I am happy. If it is somewhere else, then that’s what it is.”

New York Daily News.

I get it, of course: Baseball players are programmed to think they’re awesome and want to play everyday. And it’s probably hard for Castillo to look out at Tejada, hitting like a pitcher, and see how the 20-year-old gives the Mets a better chance of winning ballgames, which the Mets keep insisting he does.

But Castillo now joins Jeff Francoeur and Ollie Perez on the list of Mets willing to speak out for their right to continue playing regularly in the Major Leagues while making millions of dollars for their sub-replacement level production.

And I love Castillo’s assertion that he’ll talk to Omar Minaya about finding him someplace else to play everyday. Ahhh, Luis? You think, ahh, you think Omar hasn’t tried that already?

Metsimistic: Brad Hawpe

Chris makes a good point. Brad Hawpe is better than Jeff Francoeur and totally available. Hawpe’s not a good fielder but he can hit a bit. Here’s the thing, though, if the Mets wanted to find a better-hitting right fielder than Francoeur, they could try just about anyone. 

Unqualified excellence

Any Mets fan will tell you that one of the big positives this year — one of the few shining beacons of goodness in this otherwise crummy season — is the breakout performance of Angel Pagan. Pagan showed talent last year, of course, but not like this year. Too often in the past he frustrated everyone with his mental mistakes, silly baserunning blunders and terrible routes in the outfield. In 2009 he played like a fourth outfielder overwhelmed, they’ll say, and now he is proving himself a real Major Leaguer, and a good one, to boot.

And look: Maybe Pagan has learned a thing or two. There’s some empirical evidence to back it up. We know he studied under Carlos Beltran this offseason. And we see him chat up umpires during at-bats, asking about the strike zone, questioning always about the location of pitches at which he swung and missed. Pagan clearly appears to be a ballplayer intent on bettering himself.

But the stats don’t show any improvement. Not at all, actually. According to nearly every measure, Pagan hasn’t had a breakout season because he’s almost exactly the same excellent player he was last year.

Pagan hit .306 in 2009 with a .350 on-base percentage and a .487 slugging while posting a 7.0 UZR across the three outfield positions. This year, he has hit .301 with a .356 OBP and a .460 slugging with a 8.3 UZR. He has been appreciably better on the basepaths this year, mostly because he is stealing bases more frequently and at a higher rate. But otherwise, he has remained remarkably consistent across the seasons.

So what could account for the perceptual difference? Certainly Pagan has made some adjustments, and perhaps he was just a few tweaks away from winning the hearts of Mets fans everywhere. But maybe the audience has adjusted to Pagan a bit, too.

Consider when Pagan first began playing every day. We saw him a bit in 2008 and last May, but he didn’t break into the lineup for good until July of last season, a couple of weeks after Carlos Beltran went on the shelf.

It seems natural, I think, to compare Pagan to Beltran. Pagan looks up to Beltran, as we know. And they’re both multidimensional, switch-hitting Puerto Rican center fielders, and Pagan in effect replaced Beltran in the Mets’ outfield last year.

But it would be difficult to find two players with similar skill sets (though not identical, since Pagan lacks Beltran’s power) at the same position with aesthetic differences so severe. Beltran’s game, I have written, is at its best like minimalist art. It is efficient and understated, subtle. Even his blunders are quiet ones. The Blame-Beltran set will remind you of the time he failed to swing, the time he didn’t slide.

Pagan, we now know, is the Crazy Horse. His game is kinetic, almost theatric — though he’s hardly a ham. Pagan unfurls in the batter’s box, his stride strong and his backswing massive. And he does a funny thing with his batting helmet when he reaches base safely, grabbing it with his hand and tucking it towards his shoulder, kind of like Michael Jackson did with his hat. In the field, he continues his gallop long after he has snared fly balls in the gap and seems to throw his whole body weight with the baseball on outfield assists.  Pagan’s mistakes, the ones we lamented last season, come from too much energy: overrunning the base or the baseball.

So while it seems like Pagan has cut down on those mistakes, for sure, I wonder if Mets fans have taken to Pagan this season because we understand those mistakes a little better when they do happen, now that we’ve grown more accustomed to his style and more appreciative of his excellence. In other words, we now have a large enough sample of Angel Pagan to know what he is about, and we see that it is good.

On Oct. 3, the Mets will walk off the field after their last game. If I’m there, I’ll think, hey, David Wright, he didn’t have his best season but at least he hit more than 10 home runs. And hey, Jose Reyes, he might not have had his best year on paper but at least he came back healthy and finished strong. And I’ll go through each guy like that, and bargain and brightside and make myself feel better because I’m a Mets fan and that’s my nature. I beat myself up all year long then rationalize it at the end.

And then I’ll get to Pagan and think about the way he played this season, the talent he demonstrated and the consistency. And there’ll be no buts or at leasts or qualifiers of any sort.

What I was talking about yesterday

I’ve gotten a few emails in response to my post yesterday about Johan Santana, so I figured I should follow up here. Here’s the point people are contending with:

Sure, it’d be nice if the Mets could win some more games, but a strong finish for Santana could help convince everyone that landing a No. 1 starting pitcher doesn’t have to be the No. 1 priority this offseason.

I guess I was specifically referring to pending free-agent Cliff Lee, who seems destined to get a massive and lengthy contract somewhere.

I wrote that yesterday imagining the inevitable demonstrations and petitions and sit-ins clamoring for the team to shell out big bucks to a 32-year-old pitcher likely to be an albatross by the end of his deal, just because of some notion that the team needs an “ace to pair with Santana” now that Santana is no longer “an ace.”

Which is not to say the Mets can’t use starting pitching, of course. All teams need starting pitching, and seldom does a team have enough. The Mets — with Santana, R.A. Dickey, Jon Niese and Mike Pelfrey set to return — look to be in at least decent shape in the department, but could certainly stand to beef up. After all, it’s no safe bet that any of those guys will maintain the success they’ve had in 2010, and at least one will likely regress a bit.

My objection is with the idea that the Mets need an ace, just like it would be if someone told me they need a closer or they need a slugger or they need a table-setter. What the Mets will need is to maximize the resources they have at their disposal to put together the best baseball team possible.

If that means adding pitching to strengthen their rotation, then yes, by all means. But going into the offseason with blinders on searching for players who fit a certain specific label is about the worst approach imaginable.

There are many ways to construct winning teams. Having dominant starting pitching is one of them. It is far from the only one.

The best player on the free-agent market isn’t always the smartest acquisition. Winning the battle of offseason perception pales in comparison to winning actual baseball games.

Certainly there will be much, much more on this to follow.