(Slams head against desk)

Originally published Nov. 13, 2009.

Mike Silva of NY Baseball Digest spoke to a “high-ranking official with one of the 30 big-league clubs” about the concepts stated in the book Moneyball (sort of), and the executive said this:

Moneyball geniuses have flopped like DePodesta, Ricciardi, and even the infamous Billy Beane whose exploits have all lacked a World Series trophy. It is all a tool to be used by the uninitiated. I’ll take a good scout and player development people anytime; the statistics are very secondary. How do you account a .220 hitter for being the hero of the World Series or a guy who hits three home runs a year wins the pennant clincher with a home run?

With all due respect to this high-ranking official, this high-ranking official is a dunce.

I do not pretend to have “all the answers,” as Silva suggests many sabermetricians do. I have far more questions than answers, and I’ve never said otherwise.

I know this for sure, though: If you don’t understand why a .220 hitter could be the hero of the World Series or a guy who hits three home runs a year can win the pennant-clincher with a home run, you do not deserve to be a high-ranking official with one of the 30 big-league clubs.

And to him, I’d ask the same question so frequently lobbed at sabermetricians from sanctimonious and misguided old-school baseball minds:

Do you even watch the game?

Or are you suggesting to me that a seeing-eye single is somehow the product of a player’s skill or will? Are you saying that a hard-struck line drive hit right at the shortstop is bad form, not bad luck? Do you really mean to tell me that some .220 hitter — some guy who can’t hit better than .220 in the regular season — can actually magically make himself a better player when it counts more? Good lord, if someone had the ability to make himself a better player when it counted, why wouldn’t he do it all the time? Is there somehow really not enough pressure in a regular-season for that .220 hitter to morph into Albert Pujols? And in that case, wouldn’t he be the exact type of player you’d label a headcase and eschew from baseball?

It’s random. It’s a random game and a random world and randomness pervades everything. Sometimes things don’t need explanations. They just happen, especially in extremely small sample sizes.

I really don’t even want to fight this battle anymore. I recognize that some people will never agree, and they’ll just think A-Rod magically became clutch this year after being unclutch for three postseasons and clutch in the two before those. I mean, hey, it’s the magic of Kate Hudson!

But I bring it up here because it’s scares the crap out of me that people like the guy Silva quotes — who not only demonstrates a fundamental misunderstanding of what Moneyball was really about, but also a fundamental misunderstanding of the way baseball actually works, not to mention a fundamental misunderstanding of the rules of standard written English — are in positions to make decisions for the baseball teams we all love. It’s a pitch-perfect justification of what I wrote about yesterday, asserting that people in Major League front-offices screw things up all the time.

And holy crap, no one ever said that book was about canning every scout and letting calculators make decisions. It wasn’t called Numbersball. It was about exploiting market inefficiency, and just because Beane hasn’t done a good job of it over the past few years doesn’t mean GAGLWEJHRKJ^@#$. I’m done.

“Dadadadadadadada.” – Marcel Duchamp.

Did you hear about Pat?

Originally published July 16, 2010.

Thanks to this job, I’ve had some satisfying and enlightening conversations with baseball players, and a bunch of pretty boring ones, too. But I’ve never had a conversation with any player more awkward than the one I shared with Ike Davis after the cameras stopped rolling on this interview a couple of weeks back.

Davis seems like a real nice dude, but I wound up lying to him. And I think I bummed him out, too.

Some background: On the Friday before Independence Day, a well-built guy around 25 and a pair of pretty young women in tank tops sat down across the aisle from me on the Metro-North train.

“Did you hear about Pat?” the guy asked the girls.

“No,” one responded.

“He got cut from his Independent League team. Like not even a real, affiliated Minor League team this time; he got cut from this, like, semi-pro team he was on.”

“Oh my God, that sucks… Have you talked to him?”

“Nah,” he said. “I called him when he got cut by Seattle, but he never called me back. I don’t think he –“

“How’d you find out?”

“My dad just told me. He sent me this thing, from their website — from the team’s website — that said he’d been released.”

“So what’s he gonna do?”

“I don’t know… I guess, I mean, they say it takes 12-to-14 months to recover from that surgery, but if he can’t throw his pitches… his career… I don’t know.”

Their conversation changed course and drifted away from baseball, so I stopped paying attention. I’m hardly a serial eavesdropper, plus I was using my phone to search for information about some pitcher named Pat who had been cut by an Indy League team that day. I don’t know why I was so eager to know.

The only Pat I could find who had pitched in the Mariners’ system anytime recently was a guy named Patrick Ryan, who was indeed now pitching in Indy ball. But Ryan’s stats with the Bridgeport Bluefish were excellent and I couldn’t find anything on the team’s site suggesting he had been cut. Plus Ryan was from Illinois, so it seemed unlikely he’d have a trio of old friends riding Metro-North on a Friday afternoon.

But since I was already at the Bridgeport website, I clicked the only story that had been published that day, a press release about the acquisition of a catcher named Tom Pennino. The last sentence said this:

The Bridgeport Bluefish have also activated pitcher Luis Arroyo from the disabled list and, to make room on the roster, have released pitcher Pat Bresnahan.

Oof. Bresnahan was not the guy I was looking for, but he was clearly the guy in question. Indeed, further searching revealed he was born in Connecticut, had Tommy John surgery in April 2009 after a few seasons in the Pirates’ system, then got cut from the Mariners’ extended Spring Training camp this year.

The Bluefish signed him on June 25 and cut him on July 1. Sorry, dude, we know you just got here, but we’ve got to make room for 36-year-old Minor League lifer Luis Arroyo on the roster. You’re not allowed to play alongside Wily Mo Pena anymore. Not if you can’t get the ball over the plate.

And sure, you’ve got family and friends and even the families of friends tracking your career, and we know they all probably said you were headed for the Majors back when you were dominating Little League, but well, that’s not really our problem. Luis Arroyo’s got family and friends, too. Thanks for playing.

I noticed that Bresnahan played with Ike Davis at Arizona State, so for some silly reason I asked Davis about him after that interview. He smiled and said, “Oh yeah, Pat! How do you know him?”

I said Pat Bresnahan was a friend of friends, that I didn’t know the guy but I knew some people who did. That’s how I lied to Ike Davis. Then I told him that Bresnahan had just been cut by the Bridgeport Bluefish, a little over a year after Tommy John surgery. That’s how I bummed Ike Davis out. Terrible. Davis has been around the professional game more than most guys his age and certainly knows the way it goes, but his whole body language changed: his shoulders slumped and his head tilted downward.

Like I said, it was awkward. So then, mutually sensing that awkwardness, Davis and I started feeding each other half-hearted optimism.

“I mean, a lot of times guys come back even stronger from that surgery,” I said. “It just takes time.”

“Oh yeah, I’m sure he’ll be back to throwing his mid-90s heat in no time,” said Davis. “If I know Pat, he’ll catch on somewhere.”

Maybe he will. And look: I wouldn’t know Bresnahan if he punched me in the face, and I doubt he wants or needs my pity. The guy got a $200K signing bonus from the Pirates, plus the opportunity to play baseball professionally for several years. I’ll never get either of those things. Maybe Pat Bresnahan has no regrets, understands the way it shook out for him, and is perfectly satisfied with the spoils of his baseball career. What the hell do I know?

I caught part of the Triple-A All-Star Game on MLB Network on Wednesday. During the game, a 30-year-old catcher in the Pirates’ system, Erik Kratz, got the call to the Major Leagues for the first time. When asked about his initial reaction to the news in an interview just moments later, he choked back tears and said he just wanted to call his wife. It was a stunning, heartwarming, beautiful moment.

But it strikes me as funny or strange or at least too often left unvoiced that for every feel-good story, every Kratz or Jesus Feliciano or Dirk Hayhurst who toils in Minor League obscurity and finally gets the call — and heck, every Ike Davis who flies through the Minors, too — there are hundreds of men who commit their youths to the game, and who shoulder the massive expectations of friends, teammates, relatives and entire towns, only to be reduced eventually to a single line in an Indy-ball team’s press release and a crestfallen did-you-hear-about-Pat.

Hear me say stuff

I joined my friends Ted and Scott on the last-ever episode of Rockiescast last night, during which we talked a lot about nachos and beards and very little about the Rockies. Check it out.

Also, we gave out a Beard of the Ever award to a very worthy candidate, but neglected to consider this guy:

Hat tip to Google Reader friend Mischa for that photo.

What we know about John Ricco

Lots of discussion about Mets’ assistant GM John Ricco in the comments section here and elsewhere.

Here’s what we know about John Ricco:

  • He worked in the commissioner’s office for 12 years before joining the Mets in 2004. He spent his last eight years there as the Director of Contract and Salary Administration.
  • He graduated from Villanova University in 1990 with a Bachelor of Arts in communications and a minor in business (thanks, Mets media guide!).
  • He has worked in the Mets’ front office since April 15, 2004.
  • He was credited for suggesting the Mets trade for Jeff Francoeur. We don’t know if he proposed the actual terms of the deal, or if he suggested it ironically.
  • He conducted the conference call to explain Carlos Beltran’s messy surgery situation this Winter, purportedly because Omar Minaya was on a plane.
  • He scheduled the first round of interviews for the Mets’ vacant GM position and was in the room for the interviews. He was not present for the second round of interviews.
  • His name is pronounced like “rick-oh,” not “reek-oh,” as had been previously assumed.

And that’s really it. Right?

Some people are convinced he is a lackey for ownership, kept on board to serve as a mole in the front office. Others think he is a worthwhile GM-in-waiting, fit to be groomed to succeed Sandy Alderson.

I don’t know. Seems like he might be ascending into the bugaboo position vacated by Tony Bernazard, the man most likely to be blamed for everything that goes wrong with the Mets.

But I’m certain that judging someone based on the decisions of his superiors is silly, and that we probably don’t know enough about Ricco to say with any confidence whether his role in the next front office will be beneficial or detrimental to the Mets’ on-field success.

If you know more about John Ricco, feel free to share.

How I came to be rooting for the Giants

When the Giants and Rangers won their respective league championship series, I was mostly just happy they beat the Phillies and Yankees and decided I would root for good baseball in the World Series (so far off to a bad start).

Generally I pull for the well-run teams when all else is equal, and Jon Daniels and the Rangers appear to employ a better process than Brian Sabean and the Giants. But I much prefer National League baseball, of course, and I think Tim Lincecum is awesome, and I find the Rangers’ series of team-spirit hand gestures strangely off-putting.

But I determined last night that I’m rooting for Giants, not for any better reason than that I think it would be completely hilarious if they win. Sabean has compiled — and somehow derived solid performances from — such a random collection of journeymen that I feel like it’ll make for great conversation about 20 years from now. Maybe you don’t have conversations like this:

“Hey, remember Juan Uribe?”

“Juan Uribe… yeah! Kinda chubby guy, had a big year for the White Sox when they won it.”

“Nah (looking it up on future information device), he kinda sucked that year. But yeah, that’s the guy. Didn’t he sh–”

“Oh! Wasn’t he on that Giants team that randomly won in 2010!?”

“Yeah he totally was! Hit a big home run for them in Game 1. Hilarious, bro!”

And then someone will be like, “Who else was on that team?” And we will remember Aubrey Huff, Freddy Sanchez, Edgar Renteria, Pat Burrell, Cody Ross, a whole slew of deserving but unspectacular Major Leagues we do not normally associate with the Giants. And we will have a good chuckle.

I’m a simple man, so that’s really all I need to sway me.

Jeff Franceour and Bengie Molina, champions

All I know is Mets fans blast Frenchy and Molina on Twitter, but these guys are contributing to a team on verge of WS. Who is the real joke?

Mike Silva, via Twitter.

Food metaphor:

Anyone remember the SNL parody commercials for the KFC Shredder? I can’t find the video online, but the gag was that KFC was selling — and marketing — a big heap of shredded iceberg lettuce and mayo, served in a bag. Hilarious stuff.

What Mike is saying in the Tweet above is sort of like suggesting that you shouldn’t laugh at the Shredder commercials if you enjoy any other food that incorporates iceberg lettuce and mayonnaise.

Neither iceberg lettuce nor mayonnaise is a particularly valuable ingredient, but iceberg lettuce can add a little crunch to a sandwich and mayonnaise provides the foundation for many tasty dressings.

Plenty of good meals include iceberg lettuce and mayonnaise, but the idea of a meal of just iceberg lettuce and mayonnaise is still laughable. You see where this is going, right?

I am a Mets fan sometimes known to blast Jeff Francoeur and Bengie Molina on Twitter, but I certainly never suggested that Francoeur and Molina can’t be on a good team — only that teams looking to win ballgames could do better than to serve up the pair as featured players.

When I blast Francoeur, it is partly because the Mets gave him 400 at-bats as their everyday right-fielder (and mostly because of his press), never because the Rangers used him as a right-handed platoon bat and defensive replacement — a role he’s much better suited to fill — in 15 games in the stretch run.

And when I argued against the Mets giving Bengie Molina the two-year deal he sought last offseason, I never said that having Bengie Molina and winning games are mutually exclusive, only that smart teams would stand to win more games by not giving Molina a multi-year deal. Neither the Rangers nor the Giants — two teams that featured Bengie Molina this season — felt it was appropriate to lock him up through 2011. The Mets didn’t either, thankfully.

The Rangers can include Frenchy and Molina — the iceberg lettuce and mayonnaise of baseball players — on their World Series menu because the rest of their roster is stocked with steak, lobster and Cliff Lee.

UPDATE: Josh found the video. Here it is: