DePodesta’s entire chat with Baseball Prospectus is worth reading, but this quote caught my eye. I’ve noted numerous times that I struggle with xFIP. I have no trouble believing that most pitchers’ home runs per flyball rates will normalize over time, but I find it hard to assume that the same will be the case for all pitchers. In other words, I wonder if there are some guys, like Johan Santana over the past couple of seasons, that figure out a way to induce consistently weak fly-ball contact. Seems like DePodesta implies here that Young has.