Things that have to happen for the Mets to win only 74 games

Not Just a Mets Blog reacts to Sports Illustrated’s prediction that the Mets are a 74-win team, and concludes that the 2011 Mets are good for 83-85 wins. I don’t want to scoop my own season preview, but I was going to say 84 myself. I think people fail to recognize how big of a difference the series of seemingly small moves will make. Remember: 1633 plate appearances to players with OBPs below .300.

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