Harold and I go way back:
Category Archives: Baseball
Since ripping Murray Chass is apparently en vogue
Let the record show that this will be the last time I ever rip Murray Chass in this space. I confess that I’m growing a soft spot for the man. No, he shouldn’t have lashed out at Tom Verducci on hearsay, as he did last week. Of course not.
But add up the sum of the Murray Chass parts at this point — the blog-hating blog, the cliched blinders-on criticism of the stats community, even just the way he’s continuing to work despite no professional affiliation or advertisers. It can be infuriating and obnoxious and just downright silly, but I think more than anything, it’s sad.
I didn’t always view it this way. Back before this blog existed, I wrote for SNY’s The Nooner blog under the pseudonym Duke Casanova (a tribute to two great men named Raul). Murray Chass wrote a post about Mike Piazza’s bacne and I responded with an angry Fire Joe Morgan-style screed for that site’s “The Editorial Whee!” feature (hence the first-person collective).
Anyway, since I’m bored of speculating about what Cliff Lee’s currently thinking and uninterested in weighing in now on the Mets’ social-media efforts, and since the Nooner blog no longer exists and ripping Murray Chass is currently en vogue, I re-posted the Murray Chass teardown here. Check it out.
Scribernetics: Watching the watchers
William Jim has invented a bunch of stats like “Bold Utilization of Nebulous Sources (BUNS)” and will use them to rate New York-based and national baseball writers. It’s not too far off the ground yet, but I hope he keeps this up.
Recapping the Rule 5 Draft with Toby Hyde
Our producer was in my ear telling me to move on to Pedro Beato so I didn’t get to make this point about Brad Emaus, and Toby’s point that high-OBP guys without much power might struggle when they reach the bigs: I remember Mike Salfino having similar concerns about Brett Gardner before last season. Since Gardner strikes out a little more and hits for a little less power, he’s not a great comp for Emaus (just in terms of stats, and beyond the obvious differences in position, handedness, speed). But Gardner, obviously, still found his way on base enough last season to be a very valuable player for the Yanks.
And though he’s not a home run hitter, Emaus showed at least doubles power in most of his stops before the Pacific Coast League, so I’ll hold out hope that he knows what to do with a pitch over the plate when he sees it.
For what it’s worth, in talking to Toby before the show, I brought up Ben Zobrist — again a terrible comp for Emaus for a variety of reasons. But Zobrist showed a pretty remarkable batting eye in the Minors without a heck of a lot of power. Then in a season and a half in 2008-09, he posted some pretty huge power numbers.
Course, The Zorilla took a big step back in 2010.
Again, I’m not saying Emaus should be considered the instant favorite to take over the second-base job in 2011, or even that the Mets should stop looking for a capable second basemen. Just holding out hope that he’s more than a guy with a good enough eye to get on a lot against inferior pitching.
Whoa
A slew of interesting facts about Pedro Feliciano’s tenure with the Mets from Long Island’s own Greg Prince.
Wither the Santa Claus Curse?
Beware, Mets fans: the team revealed Tuesday that David Wright will play the role of Santa Claus at next Tuesday’s holiday party, one of the club’s most popular annual charitable endeavors. But like an action shot on the cover of Sports Illustrated or an appointment to defend the dark arts at Hogwarts, it is not an honor to be taken lightly.
For the better part of the past decade, the position has quite obviously been cursed; any player who has pulled on the red-and-white suit has either left the team, been injured or suffered a serious decline in production thereafter.
Obviously neither DiComo nor anyone else is taking the “Santa Claus Curse” all that seriously, but there’s a pretty reasonable explanation here:
The Mets apparently aren’t going to have a guy coming off a crappy season play Santa. John Maine and Mike Pelfrey both assumed the roles after career years, Francoeur earned it with 308 plate appearances far beyond his usual production. Somewhat predictably, all three regressed the following season. Pelfrey also suffered at the hands of a terrible defense behind him.
Benson’s case is unique, since his curse was only having a wife who thought it appropriate to show up to a children’s charity event wearing nearly nothing.
What happened to Mike Cameron probably makes the best argument for the existence of a curse, since it’s not often you see gruesome head-to-head collisions on a baseball field. But then, the Mets did ask Cameron to shift to a new position after the 2004 campaign.
And then there’s David Wright, who played Santa after 2006 and went on to have the best season of his career in 2007. Turns out legitimately excellent players are immune from the curse.
I am a bit disappointed that the Mets didn’t go with my recommendation.
Good reading
Noel Murray of the Onion’s AV Club asks, “Why does most sports broadcasting suck so hard?” It’s a good question and his investigation is reasonably thorough. I agree that the best shows are the ones with the highest ratio of highlights:nonsense.
I think an important point he sort of skirts, though, is that in-game sports broadcasts are aimed to please the largest possible audience. They’re not necessarily dumbed down but they’re certainly simplified in the name of appealing to the casual fan. I’m not saying that’s the way it should be or that it would be all that hard for a baseball broadcaster to explain the paramount importance of getting on base, but I imagine the thinking is that hardcore fans are going to watch no matter what the broadcasters say, so no need to appease them.
Just stop listening
I hoped to avoid the issue altogether but I’ve gotten a few emails about it so here goes: Apparently Mike Francesa is ripping the Mets on his radio show, raving about how they need to make a big splash this offseason or whatever, yelling about the whole ridiculous “small-market Sandy” thing.
This naturally irritates many rational Mets fans, since rational Mets fans know that for a variety of reasons none of the available big splashes seems to make a lot of sense for a team with a massive payroll that’s looking to become a sustainable winner. I could try to figure out Francesa’s motivation in ripping the Mets, work to decipher whether there’s some sort of grudge at play or if it has something to do with his medium or if he really just doesn’t know what he’s talking about, but really, who cares?
If you are bothered by what Mike Francesa has to say, I have an amazing solution: Stop listening to Mike Francesa.
I did it myself a few years ago; it’s great. Life is complicated enough on its own, we don’t need to opt in to situations we find stressful.
I happen to think his show is massively entertaining, which is why I listened to it with some frequency for a time and probably why so many people still pay attention even as it frustrates them. But at some point I found it difficult to rationalize the fact that someone working with all the same information I had could come to such massively different conclusions. And I realized I always had the option to listen to James Brown instead.
The new excitement
Subtlety and patience. In the overwrought world of New York baseball, the public is not conditioned to celebrate those qualities, particularly in the wintertime.
High-profile rumors and signings drive talk radio passion and sell newspapers, and the Mets have abstained during these winter meetings. In the process, they have begun to reveal just how radical (for New York) Sandy Alderson’s approach will be, as he tries to impose order on inherited chaos. While the Yankees and Red Sox chased Cliff Lee and Carl Crawford, and the Washington Nationals, of all teams, drove a truck full of money to Jayson Werth’s front door, Alderson this week signed reliever D.J. Carrasco, catcher Ronny Paulino and pitcher Boof Bonser.
– Andy Martino, N.Y. Daily News.
OK, here’s the disconnect here: To me, subtlety and patience are exciting. Sandy Alderson’s radical approach is, well, radical.
Big splashy offseason moves stopped being exciting once they started being both predictable and harmful. And certainly, they inspire passion. But often, that means passionate explanations about why the big splashy offseason move will ultimately hurt the Mets.
So Ronny Paulino, DJ Carrasco, Dusty Ryan, Boof Bonser and Brad Emaus don’t sell papers or make for entertaining talk radio. Who f#$@ing cares? That’s on the papers and talk radio for not figuring out how to drum up interest in some legitimately interesting moves, even if they’re not big names, big deals and big money. Write about the big picture. Focus on the economics. Figure something out.
And for what it’s worth, here at SNY.tv, our traffic is as good as its ever been. Our video streams — those goofy clips you see here with me sitting at the desk all unkempt and everything — have shot through the roof this offseason. I don’t think that’s all due to Sandy Alderson, but I certainly don’t think it’s all due to my boyish good looks and spectacular hair, either.
Seems to me like Alderson and his regime at the very least indicate a change in the way things are done around Flushing, and after all we’ve been through the last few seasons, change itself inspires plenty of enthusiasm.
And as far as I’m concerned, operating a team with the intent to sell papers and dominate talk-radio gaga will never, ever be as exciting as operating a team with the intent to win ballgames.
Mets add dudes
The Mets selected pitcher Pedro Beato and infielder Brad Emaus in the Major League portion of the Rule 5 Draft today.
A former first-round pick, Beato apparently throws hard, though he hasn’t struck out a whole lot of guys in the Minors. He pitched as a starter in the Orioles’ system without much success from 2006 to 2009, but flourished after a move to the Double-A bullpen in 2010. In 59 2/3 innings over 43 appearances, Beato enjoyed career bests in K:BB, WHIP and ERA. He should compete for a role in the Mets’ bullpen in Spring Training.
Beato was born on Oct. 27, 1986 — the same day as Jon Niese, and the last time the Mets won the World Series.
Emaus seems the more intriguing pickup. As Sam Page pointed out, Emaus is a favorite of Baseball Prospectus’ prospects expert Kevin Goldstein, who wrote that he “just plays the game right” after his 2008 campaign in High-A ball. Emaus took a step backwards in 2009, but returned to form with a strong .874 OPS across Double- and Triple-A in 2010. It should be noted that his Triple-A numbers were probably a bit inflated by the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League, but his high walk rate and ability to make contact bode well for his future.
Emaus will be 25 on Opening Day. Goldstein said his ceiling was as a solid everyday second baseman, and he should have the opportunity to compete for that role come Spring Training. But as Toby Hyde pointed out, he has no experience playing shortstop and played more third base than second in 2010.
For more on both, check out Page at Amazin’ Avenue, and Toby and Michael Diaz at MetsMinorLeagueBlog.com.