Things that have to happen for the Mets to win only 74 games

Not Just a Mets Blog reacts to Sports Illustrated’s prediction that the Mets are a 74-win team, and concludes that the 2011 Mets are good for 83-85 wins. I don’t want to scoop my own season preview, but I was going to say 84 myself. I think people fail to recognize how big of a difference the series of seemingly small moves will make. Remember: 1633 plate appearances to players with OBPs below .300.

The Eddie Kunz Era in Flushing is over

The Mets traded former sandwich-round pick Eddie Kunz to the Padres today for former first-round pick Allan Dykstra, who is somehow not related to Lenny and Cutter. Neither player appears likely to impact a Major League team anytime soon. Though I do not really believe in jinxes, I’m still pretty sure I ruined Eddie Kunz’s career. Before a game in 2008, I asked him about how he hadn’t allowed a home run since his freshman year of college. He then allowed one to the second batter he faced that game and it has pretty much been downhill from there.