Batting average with balls in play

Can a newly single A-Rod smack more doubles and triples?

The Yankees slugging third baseman is due back in the lineup Friday night against Toronto for the first time since his split with Cameron Diaz – and fans hope the heartbreak means home runs….

Rodriguez, who was also linked with Madonna after his divorce, memorably dated “Almost Famous” actress Kate Hudson during the Yankees’ 2009 championship run.

The blond Hollywood honey received much of the credit when A-Rod reversed a disastrous post-season slump as the Yankees won the World Series.

Larry McShane, N.Y. Daily News.

A-Rod’s hitting line, by celebrity girlfriend:

Madonna (August 2008 – end 2008): .258/.366/.511 in 50 games.

Kate Hudson (Late May 2009 – end 2009): .302/.419/.560 in 129 games, including postseason.

Cameron Diaz (July 2010 – Sept. 15, 2011): .274/.349/.498 in 156 games.

By my best estimates of when he started dating each based on the maximum number of celebrity-gossip articles I could stomach.

It’s worth noting that while dating Hudson, A-Rod enjoyed his best batting average with balls in play.

Oh, indeed.

 

 

Mariano Rivera reaches inevitable milestone

Presumably you’ve heard that Mariano Rivera saved his 600th game last night. Sometime this week he’ll save his 601st game, and before the season is done he’ll save his 602nd game and break the all-time saves record, just in case anyone is silly enough to need that figure for evidence that Rivera is the greatest closer of all-time.

By allowing a single hit last night, Rivera maintained his career 1.000 WHIP. To date he has thrown 1206 innings, yielded 932 hits and walked 274 batters. That is, if you’re scoring at home, awesome.

Adjusted ERA+ factors park- and league-effects into earned-run average and scales it so that 100 is average — sort of like IQ tests and the old SATs. Among pitchers with over 1000 innings pitched, Pedro Martinez has the second best ERA+ of all time with 154. Third is someone named Jim Devlin, who dominated hitters for three seasons in the 1870s and managed a career 151 mark. Fourth and fifth are Hall of Famers Lefty Grove and Walter Johnson, with 148 and 147, respectively. Those men were pitching geniuses.

Rivera’s career adjusted ERA+ is 205, more than 50 points higher than the next best ever. Isaac Newton stuff, in this imperfect metaphor.

Of course, any discussion placing Rivera among the best pitchers ever must be qualified with the fact that his dominance almost always came in one-inning stints. Who knows what Johnson or Grove or Pedro would have done if afforded that luxury? Who knows if Rivera would have been anywhere near as effective if asked to throw 120 relief innings every year the way Rollie Fingers once did, or — heaven forbid — to start games.

It never happened, so it doesn’t matter much now. Rivera happened to emerge and succeed in the era of the one-inning closer, a role he has come to define better than Tony La Russa ever could.

And though there’s evidence to show that teams leading after the 8th inning have won the same rate of games since the dawn of the closer as they did in all the years before that, perhaps increased specialization in bullpens was an adjustment necessary to maintain that percentage in the contemporary game rather than a needless rejiggering of an already effective system.

Either way, Rivera is awesome. That’s the main thing.

You have let me down, Internet

The lineup is in, and it’s Jeter, Jeter and more Jeter.

The Algonquin Seaport Theater, which is planning a Derek Jeter-themed one-act festival next month, revealed on Wednesday the plays that made the cut from the call for the competition last month, made shortly after Jeter reached his much-heralded 3,000th hit.

Julie Shapiro, DNAInfo.com.

Dammit, how is it possible I’m only hearing about this now that the plays have been selected? This could have been my big break, Internet, and you failed to notify me in a timely fashion! I’m very disappointed.

I should probably check this out, though. And maybe get working now on my Mark Sanchez one-act for whenever that opportunity arises.

Via Bronx Banter.

Mariano Rivera is still ridiculously awesome

“For him to go through what he’s gone through the last two outings, this guy’s human,” Hunter said. “He’s going to get older, and it’s going to slow down for him, but I still don’t want to face him.”

Hunter continued: “Hitters still fear him. Mariano’s name carries weight, and I’m not even going off his name, I’m going off what he still has. His cutter is unbelievable. Still, to this day. He doesn’t throw as hard — 91, 92 — but the cutter still cuts the same.”

Against Abreu on Tuesday, it did not, and Scutaro also handled the pitch. Rivera is signed through next season, and he reacted calmly to the defeats, as always. But such moments remind us of the uncomfortable reality that Rivera, the Yankees’ indispensable closer, is reaching an expiration date, as all players do.

Tyler Kepner, N.Y. Times.

Speculation about the inevitable end of the Mariano Rivera era in the Bronx is now about as predictable as Mariano Rivera. Every time a couple of his rare blown saves happen to come back-to-back, Yankee fans freak out and baseball columnists start penning eulogies for his ridiculously awesome career.

Here’s the thing, though: Rivera is still great. His ERA in 2011 is exactly at his career mark, and his WHIP and K:BB are better than his established (and awesome) rates. To his credit, Kepner notes a lot of that in his column.

Watch: Rivera’s going to lock down his next 15 chances, and everyone will clam up about his age. Same thing’ll happen next year.

Chad Ochocinco still doing cool stuff despite new affiliation

I’m going to do something different; I’m actually going to stay with a fan the first two, three weeks of the season. So that should be fun until I get myself acclimated, I learn my way around and actually just find a place…. I’ll just pick somebody. I’m not sure how it’s going to work. They’ll have to have internet and they have to have Xbox and that’s about it.

Chad Ochocinco.

Dammit. Why couldn’t this man have been a Jet? I’d have bought an XBox…

Tilting at windmills

The question then becomes how long a wild-card series should be. Costas predicted the adoption of a one-and-done playoff over a three-game series because that would be television’s preference — ensuring two games every season modeled on the storied playoff game of 1978 (Yankees-Red Sox) as opposed to the three-game version of 1951 (Giants-Dodgers).

“Here’s the difference,” Costas said. “Those games came after 162 games and were the result of a dead heat. They were not contrived like these would be.”

A best-of-three series would also require the survivor to extend its pitching staff by having to play at least twice, thereby making it that much more challenging for a wild-card team to win the World Series. Under those terms, this weekend’s series in Boston would be well worth the hype.

Harvey Araton, N.Y. Times.

It sure sounds like Major League Baseball’s going to add a second Wild Card, so this feels a bit like tilting at windmills now. Plus I should add that even as a teenager I disliked the idea of a grand change to baseball’s playoff system in 1994. For all my pretense toward open-mindedness, I’m pretty stodgy at heart.

But indulge me. Say for the sake of argument that there were a second Wild Card and a one-game playoff in 2011, and season ended with the teams in the exact positions they are right now.

In the American League, the Yankees would be rewarded for being eight games better than the Angels over a 162-game season by having to beat the Angels in a one- or three-game series. Nevermind that the Yankees play in the toughest division in baseball and are seven games better than the AL West-leading Rangers and 9.5 up on the AL Central-leading Tigers, it doesn’t seem at all fair to force them to assert their dominance over the Angels in a short series (or single game!) that could easily be decided by randomness when they’ve already shown it over the much larger sample.

Granted, since the start of divisional play there are tons of examples where teams with better records have been excluded from the playoffs in favor of those that managed only to be better than the dreck in their division, plus it’s not like a full seven-game series is enough to show for sure that one team is superior to another.

And I guess the most important thing to keep in mind is that it’s not really about fairness. Not to sound cynical, but presumably Bud Selig has at his disposal an army of accountants showing the ways in which adding a Wild Card would be financially best for the teams and the game.

This is happening whether I like it or not, so I suppose it’s time I get used to the idea. I imagine in time there’ll be seasons made more exciting by the change and seasons made less exciting, it’ll all balance out and eventually I’ll just accept it as the way it is instead of focusing so much on the way it once was.

Your thoughts?

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