What if the Mets really did nothing this offseason, and couldn’t sign Jason Bay or Bengie Molina or Joel Pineiro or whoever else? How bad off would they be? Let’s take a (completely theoretical) look:
Catcher: Josh Thole (L), Henry Blanco (R)
First base: Daniel Murphy (L), Nick Evans (R)
Second base: Luis Castillo (B)
Third base: David Wright (R)
Shortstop: Jose Reyes (B)
Left field: Angel Pagan (B)
Center field: Carlos Beltran (B)
Right field: Jeff Francoeur (R)
Bench: Alex Cora (INF), Chris Carter (OF/1B), Anderson Hernandez (INF), Omir Santos (C)
Starting pitchers: Johan Santana (LHP), Mike Pelfrey (RHP), Oliver Perez (LHP), John Maine (RHP), Jon Niese (LHP)
Bullpen: Francisco Rodriguez (RHP), Kelvim Escobar (RHP), Ryota Igarashi (RHP), Pedro Feliciano (LHP), Bobby Parnell (RHP), Sean Green (RHP), Brian Stokes (RHP)
That’s assuming a lot of things, of course. Health is the main one. Obviously Reyes, Beltran, Santana, Escobar, Perez, Niese and Francoeur all have some major to minor question marks attached to them, injury-wise.
And it’s assuming the Mets would give Thole the opportunity to start the season in a platoon, which I doubt, plus carry three catchers, which I also doubt. But it’s an arbitrary and theoretical exercise anyway.
But that said, does the team look downright terrible? It would be counting on a whole lot of things to fall the right way, of course.
One minor positive to the 2009 season might be that it forced Omar Minaya to pick up a good deal of pitching depth to handcuff the current crop of injury-prone starters. This club wouldn’t include Nelson Figueroa, Pat Misch, Fernando Nieve and Tobi Stoner, all of whom could be stashed in Buffalo for when one of the “mainstays” inevitably goes down.
Is the team, on paper, good enough to compete with the Roy Halladay-bolstered, reigning-champion Phillies? Not by a long shot. But it would give Thole, Murphy, Evans, Pagan and Francoeur opportunities to show whether they deserve to be parts of the Mets’ long-term plans while allowing more impressive prospects deeper in the system to develop at higher levels.
Which is not to say it’s a plan I’m advocating. But I also don’t think it would be the worst idea in the world.