Fun with graphs

Look: I have no problem with athletes who celebrate their accomplishments on the field. In fact, if they’re athletes who deserve to be celebrating, I support them wholeheartedly. This is why I think Jose Reyes is so cool.

Kerry Rhodes is not one such athlete. Kerry Rhodes can not tackle. When an opposing running back is bearing down on Kerry Rhodes, he turns his back and falls down. It’s terrible looking, and embarrassing. Then, in the rare event that Kerry Rhodes knocks a pass down or does something vaguely good, he gets up and carries on like he’s God’s gift to football.

It’s particularly awful because Kerry Rhodes plays in the same defensive backfield as Darrelle Revis, who might actually be God’s gift to football. And Darrelle Revis almost never carries on. He just trots back to the huddle and prepares to do something else unspeakably awesome on the next play, while Kerry Rhodes is dancing around trying to take credit for something Revis just did. It’s infuriating.

There was actually a kid like this on my high school team. I hated the kid. He never made any tackles, but after every play, he used to run over to the spot where the tackle had been made and flex in the general vicinity of the tackle. Often the statistician would assume he made the play and give him credit, but he never actually did. He just had the gall to flex like he had made the play even though he was 15 yards away, getting knocked around by some weak-ass opposing blocker.

That’s Kerry Rhodes. So in honor of Kerry Rhodes, I’ve made this graph. It’s a bar graph, charting the rate of posturing per defensive contribution. Check it out:

graph

Items of note

Today’s the last day of my too-brief holiday vacation, but I’ll try to post a few things just to keep you entertained if you’re unfortunate enough to be stuck in the office. I’ll be in the same spot tomorrow.

The Jets won by forfeit yesterday when the Colts brought in some Brit-rocker looking dude named Curtis Painter who promptly made Kellen Clemens look like Johnny Unitas. Now they’ll make the playoffs if they beat the Bengals next Sunday.

The Daily News provides Top 10 best and Top 10 worst New York athletes of the decade lists. I’m sorry, but up until this year, the Daily News definitely would have had A-Rod on the Top 10 worst list. Also, Kei Igawa’s inclusion seems kind of random and mean.

Oliver Perez surfaced to talk about his knee and his outlook for 2010.

Omar Minaya said some stuff.

Jeff Francoeur’s thumbs appear A-OK

Courtesy of the fellas at Baseball Think Factory, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution has a photo gallery of Jeff Francoeur’s golfing trip to Scotland. And as you can see, his surgically repaired thumb looks just fine:

UPDATE: I should have read the captions more closely. Apparently Frenchy’s golfing trip to Scotland came before the thumb surgery, so clearly he was just showing off his ability to stretch out those ligaments before putting ’em away for the winter. Anyway, doesn’t make the photo any less hilarious.

Do they know it’s Boxing Day (Canada)?

This blogging thing is tough sometimes. I’m sitting here, surrounded by the detritus of Christmas, overwhelmed by the idea of cleaning it up, and realizing I should probably be weighing in on the Mets’ acquisition of Kelvim Escobar.

Kelvim Escobar is pretty damn good when he’s healthy. Kelvim Escobar hasn’t been healthy since 2007. I don’t know the details of the contract yet, so it’s impossible to say whether it’s a good deal for the Mets. If it’s guaranteed multiple millions of dollars for a guy with major arm issues, it’s not. But it probably isn’t, in which case, it’s a good low risk pickup for a guy who could pay huge dividends.

So that’s nice. Beyond that, there’s talk that Joel Pineiro is now the Mets’ top pitching target and they could finally be moving on from Jason Bay and probably 30 other rumors that may or may not come to pass.

To be honest, I’m finding it hard to focus. I’ve got new shoes to break in, and a whole book of previously unpublished Kurt Vonnegut material I can’t wait to read, and a blown-up photo of the Empire State Building lit blue and orange that I’ve got to hang someplace, and all this damn wrapping paper to throw away.

Anyway, in the spirit of Boxing Day (Canada), a big thanks to everyone who has come to TedQuarters in the couple of months since launch. I’ve had a lot of fun writing it, and I’ve been pleasantly surprised by all the feedback. So gracias, and I look forward to continuing to sort through all the New York sports nonsense while occasionally breaking to wax poetically about Taco Bell in 2010.

The Mets’ no-decade team

Matt Cerrone and Eric Simon are running down their all-decade lists for the Mets, and for lack of anything more interesting to write about, I figured I’d weigh in with my anti-all-decade team. Because I’m just that snarky and just that bored.

To qualify, players had to play in at least 50 games at their position for the Mets. And they had to have failed miserably, at least based on my own completely subjective standards.

Catcher: Omir Santos, 2009. This might be the most controversial choice on the list, because ol’ Extra-Base Omir is responsible for at least as many good memories (the Omiracle) as bad ones, and he shouldn’t really be faulted for earning Jerry Manuel’s favor early in the 2009 season. But Santos makes the squad as a representative of the Mets’ frightful disdain for adequate sample sizes, evidenced both by the team’s willingness to trade Ramon Castro after Santos’ hot start and the baffling, unforgettable decision to pinch-hit Santos for Castro with the game on the line, after Castro was already 2-for-4, and while Santos was in the bullpen, not even anywhere near the action.

Other candidates were either way too good (Mike Piazza), way too likable (Jason Phillips), completely serviceable (Vance Wilson), or had at least one decent season before outing themselves as crappy (Paul Lo Duca).

First base: Mo Vaughn, 2002-2003. Vaughn actually hit 26 home runs for the Mets in 2002, and again, it’s not really his fault Steve Phillips thought he was worth bringing in after an impressive batting cage session. But Vaughn stands today as one of the Mets’ most massive failures, both literally and figuratively, for his inability to stay healthy or play even a semblance of defense. Too bad, too, because by most accounts he’s a really good guy.

My lasting memory of Vaughn’s time on the Mets will always be the sight of him hurling one into center field while attempting to throw the ball around the infield during David Cone’s first comeback start in 2003 on an absolutely miserable April day at Shea.

Second base: Miguel Cairo, 2005. This was a tough, tough choice, but Miguel Cairo earns the nod over various luminaries the Mets have trotted out to the second sack in the aughts. Signed as a free-agent after his only decent Major League season, Cairo proceeded to post an alarming 64 OPS+ for the Mets while starting 74 games filling in for the injured Kaz Matsui (also a strong candidate).

Cairo also lost points because the Mets actually started him at first base six times, which was mind-boggling. He was the poor man’s Alex Cora way before Alex Cora, and the first in a long line of Willie Randolph’s “guys” to accumulate far too much playing time.

Third base: Joe McEwing, 2000-2004. Inserting Super Joe into the third-base slot is sort of a stretch — he only played 57 games at the position in his tenure with the Amazins and many of them were as a late-game defensive replacement. But, frankly, he had to make the squad somewhere, and despite the Mets’ historical troubles finding an everyday third baseman, the position has mostly been filled admirably during this decade.

McEwing combined obnoxious grit with a complete inability to hit, tallying a 69 OPS+ in five seasons with the Mets. I felt a little bit guilty when I booed him mercilessly from a good seat in his new home in Kaufman Stadium in 2005, but not guilty enough to leave him off this squad. He was versatile, sure, and likable to many, but it can’t be that hard to find someone simply willing to play every position if he can’t hit at all.

Shortstop: Kaz Matsui, 2004-2005. Why does Matsui get the nod over Cora? Because people were actually convinced Matsui would be good. I wasn’t, for what it’s worth, but lots and lots of people were. So convinced, in fact, that the Mets were willing to move young Jose Reyes to second base to accommodate Matsui. That did not go well.

Before I had any sort of forum on which to spew my opinions about the Mets, I remember arguing with friends over Matsui’s merits before the 2004 season. I would point out that his career on-base percentage in the NPB was about 50 points lower than those of Hideki Matsui and Ichiro Suzuki, and they would always — always — counter that he was on the cover of ESPN the Magazine and thus must be good. He makes the team because of that argument alone.

Left field: Roger Cedeno, 2002-2003. Cedeno’s first stint with the Mets — in 1999, under the tutelage of Rickey Henderson — probably would have been enough to keep him off this list if it happened in this decade. But it didn’t, so here it is.

Cedeno manned mostly corner outfield positions in his second go-round with the club despite showing no appreciable and not getting on base enough to make his speed worthwhile. Plus, to paraphrase Keith Hernandez’s greatest quote, he played the outfield “as if being chased by bees.”

Center field: Carlos Beltran, 2005-current. This overpaid and oft-injured whining clubhouse cancer signed a mega-contract with the Mets before the 2005 season despite obviously hating baseball. Then he struck out with the bases loaded to end their 2006 season. HE DIDN’T EVEN SWING! HE SUCKS! TRADE HIM!

I’m kidding, obviously. The actual starter is Jeff Duncan, who posted a downright amazing 35 OPS+ in 69 games in 2003 and 2004. I actually liked Duncan because he walked 10 times in his first 46 plate appearances. Then, I guess, Major League pitchers figured out he wasn’t a free-swinger and just started putting pitches over the plate, where he couldn’t actually hit them.

Right field: Karim Garcia, 2004. Karim Garcia started 68 games in the outfield for the 2004 Mets. Somehow, and thankfully, I have managed to block all of them. He posted a .272 on-base percentage in the stretch and was so bad that I couldn’t go with my first instinct to ignore him and insert Marlon Anderson in the lineup, even though Anderson didn’t accumulate 50 games in right. I was going to argue that Anderson’s ample time in left made him a capable corner outfielder on the failsquad, but Garcia’s existence made it a moot point.

Starting pitcher: Jose Lima, 2006. Did Jose Lima hit the 50-game threshold? No, he stopped at four. But 50 games is a lot for a starting pitcher, and I really liked Jae Seo, and Lima’s four games of awfulness were so memorably bad that he makes the team just on principle. What was worse, he punctuated them with ridiculous posturing, the type of thing that’s exciting and fun when it comes from a great player like Reyes but completely intolerable when it’s pouring forth from one of the very worst starting pitchers of all time.

Relief pitcher: Jorge Sosa, 2007-2008. Sosa actually wasn’t terrible in 2007, and the Mets have had a lot of bad relievers over the past 10 years, but I couldn’t in good conscience pick someone who wasn’t on the 2008 team and Sosa was so bad in 20 appearances that I deemed him “The White Flag,” the human embodiment of forfeit. Plus it wasn’t like he was good enough in 2007 to make up for it, as Aaron Heilman was, or good enough at a specialty role, like Scott Schoeneweis.

Who’d I miss? Comment away and fill me in.

A glimmer of hope

The inimitable John Harper on the Javier Vazquez deal, in this morning’s Daily News:

Isn’t this the type of creative dealing the Mets should be doing?

Or is it simply that they are in denial about their need to upgrade their pitching to have any real chance at contending next season?

It could be that, yes.

It could also be something better for Mets fans, and a sign of a more progressive organizational philosophy being either espoused by or forced upon Omar Minaya.

On paper, the Yankees made a major upgrade to their rotation by dealing Melky Cabrera, a young but thus-far unspectacular outfielder likely to continue being decent and inexpensive for the next several seasons. Melky’s a fan favorite, but since the Yankees just acquired Curtis Granderson and still have Brett Gardner in the fold, he’s easily worth trading for 200 guaranteed decent innings from Vazquez.

But also dispatched in the deal, and not even mentioned in Harper’s column, was 19-year-old pitcher Arodys Vizcaino. Vizcaino was recently ranked the Yanks’ third-best prospect by Baseball America and second best by Kevin Goldstein at Baseball Prospectus.

He’s 19 and hasn’t pitched in full season ball yet, so it makes sense for the Yanks to include him in a deal for a pitcher of Vazquez’s caliber, even if Vazquez will be a free agent after this season. Scouts apparently love Vizcaino’s upside, but he’s far from a sure thing, and the Yanks are a lock to contend for their division title in 2010.

For the Mets, though, would it really make sense to deal Jenrry Mejia, probably the closest comp in their system, for one year of solid starting pitching?

I doubt it. The Mets should be looking to improve for 2010, of course, but with as much uncertainty as they have thanks to players coming off injury and down seasons, they absolutely must not do it at the cost of their farm system.

All trades are, to some extent, gambles. The Yankees, in making the deal, are gambling that Vazquez provides enough to their title run in 2010 to make up for whatever they give up down the road in Vizcaino. The Mets, not nearly as likely to make a title run in 2010, should not be making that sort of gamble.

Plus, for all we know, the Mets were in no position to even make that sort of deal. Calling the lefty relievers involved more or less a wash, it would probably take Angel Pagan and Mejia just to equal the Yanks’ offer. And would the Braves trade Vazquez in division for an equal offer?

I don’t know. I like Vazquez a lot, but I’m happy it didn’t happen because the Mets can not mortgage their future for a playoff run in 2010.

Items of note

Has SNY.tv got you covered for Javier Vazquez analysis? Yes, yes it does: Tom Boorstein, Cliff Corcoran, Steve Lombardi. Sam Borden coming soon.

Speaking of this here Web empire, Howard Megdal wrote a good piece on the Mets’ offseason on Monday.

Carlos Delgado has suffered a setback.

Darrelle Revis is probably covering you right now.

Apparently TMZ is starting a sports site. Just the thought gives me a headache.

A little Pedro love

Does Pedro Martinez make a whole lot of sense for the Mets right now? Nah, not really. He looked pretty good in a very limited sample with the Phillies last season, but the Mets probably need guaranteed innings more than they need promise coupled with the promise of injury.

Do I think the Mets will really sign Pedro Martinez? Nah, not really. If they didn’t do it last year, when they trying to remain competitive with Livan Hernandez, Tim Redding and Fernando Nieve in the rotation, I can’t imagine they’ll do it now.

Will I ever, ever say I don’t want to see Pedro Martinez back with the Mets? Not a chance.

I’ve got few rational arguments for the Mets to bring back Pedro next season, but my irrational side is all-in. Pedro, as I’ve written before, is my favorite pitcher of all time. Even in his advanced age, he’s amazing to watch, and no matter how much I can’t stand the Phillies, I still found myself rooting for Pedro last season.

Plus, there’s always the sliver of hope he’ll pitch a little bit like he used to. Heck, he hinted at it for the Phillies, striking out 37 guys while walking only eight in 44 2/3 innings. And, according to Fangraphs, his average fastball velocity was the highest it has been since 2004.

Here’s what I wrote in June:

What Pedro Martinez offers that very few others do is the tiny, tiny possibility that he can pitch like some semblance of vintage Pedro Martinez. It’s quite unlikely, sure. But his people claim he’s hitting 93-94 miles per hour on the gun, and the Rays and Cubs — two teams with more viable starters than the Mets — are reportedly interested.

Redding, unlike Pedro Martinez, has absolutely no chance of ever pitching like Pedro Martinez. He has that in common with Livan Hernandez, Fernando Nieve and the overwhelming majority of humanity.

I’m long resigned to the fact that we’ll never again see Pedro anything like he did around the turn of the millenium with the Sox. That’s not the type of dominance that can be expected to last, and there’s way too much evidence to show he’s done pitching like that.

But even at 38, Pedro’s upside is probably still a lot higher than any number of people who could reasonably start for the Mets last year. I know this because he’s Pedro Martinez.

OK, I’m trying to justify this rationally now and that’s not what this was supposed to be about. I just love watching the guy play is all, and it’d be an entertaining thing to see at Citi Field in 2010.