Friday Q&A, pt. 1: Mets stuff

No research. Straight to the monkey.

https://twitter.com/DanDotLewis/status/239020745152417793

My thoughts are: Meh? It’s an interesting idea, but it’s wholly dependent on Santana being able to physically handle the new role so it’s impossible to say if it’d work. From what we’ve seen this year, it seems Santana’s performance has become a bit finicky in his old age and hampered health, and we’ve heard him suggest that in certain starts he couldn’t get loose. Would he be able to throw three nights in a row if necessary? Would he have games in which he just doesn’t have it? While I realize that starters converted into relievers usually meet with success, I’d be very hesitant to transition a guy with Santana’s injury history.

https://twitter.com/BokGwai/status/239027935015731200

Wait, do you mean more production from the players, or a greater quantity of productive players? I think it’s safe to expect the former in many cases: Josh Thole, Ike Davis, Ruben Tejada, Jordany Valdespin, Lucas Duda and Kirk Nieuwenhuis are under 27 and presumably growing more productive — whether they’re in the team’s plans or not. And cutting Jason Bay will mean replacing him with a more productive player, because basically no player has been less productive than Bay.

As for quantity? Beats me. I don’t have any idea what the Mets have to spend or what they’re willing to part with. But they’ve got some depth in the starting rotation from which to deal — though that might mean trading a prospect. Speaking of:

https://twitter.com/happyhank24/status/239024337452146688

Yes. Maybe Zack Wheeler will be awesome, but he’s a pitching prospect so he’s no sure thing and he’s subject to injury at pretty much any time. Upton had a down year in 2012, but he’s a 24-year-old with a superstar resume and he’s signed through the end of the 2015 season.

I got a lot of trade questions asking if the Mets should deal certain guys and if they should pursue certain guys. The answer to every single one is always the same: Depends on the trade. Should the Mets trade Daniel Murphy for the sake of trading him? Hell no: He’s a valuable Major Leaguer. Should the Mets trade Daniel Murphy for Justin Verlander? Yes.

The same is really true for R.A. Dickey and even David Wright. I don’t think there’s much of a chance Wright gets traded, but if it looks like he wants to test free agency after the season and someone’s offering you a package of young Major League and Major League-ready players that you feel will provide more in their careers with the team than Wright will for the remainder of his contract, then, you know, duh. But that’s always true.

https://twitter.com/koosman3669/status/239030180088279040

Well, David Wright is the pb-and-honey sandwich minister in the clubhouse, so I suspect it’d be hard to associate the sandwich with poor play.

https://twitter.com/ProfessorStem/status/239064390312284162

Good question. Presumably the evaluation phase should never really end, but I think the Mets should have a pretty clear sense of what they’ll get from Dickey, Jon Niese, Bobby Parnell, Murphy, Wright, Scott Hairston and Andres Torres moving forward. The rest still feature question marks due to age, injury, sample size, or pretty broad fluctuations in performance.

This is what building looks like

I’m not the GM, though. I’m a fan. And, what I know is that it’s time to make moves. It has to be. Mets fans are shockingly patient and tolerant, but only to a point. Alderson had two years to rip the house down, which he’s done. He’s had two years to evaluate and develop talent and take stock in what he has to work with. He’s had two years to create a new infrastructure and shed bad contracts (with one, maybe two more to go). He’s had two years to let it bleed, and let us anticipate, and imagine, and be patient, which I think we’ve done rather well considering the soap opera we were forced to root for in the four seasons prior to his arrival. He’s done his due diligence and demolition, this off season it’s time to start building.

Matt Cerrone, MetsBlog.com.

I hardly disagree with most of the general points Matt made in his post this morning, but I’ll offer this (mostly semantic) counterpoint: This is building. This is what building looks like. It’ll try our patience, for sure, but our patience is only one of the myriad aspects of the process that Sandy Alderson and his SABRos must manage.

The Mets have looked atrocious the last few weeks. Straight-up old-timey LOLMets stuff. The bullpen and defense stayed bad and an offense with one too many holes in it stopped hitting for power. Maybe these Mets could string together enough singles to score runs with a couple of more good on-base guys, but they’ve suffered with too many easy outs in their lineup. Check this out:

Last year, the Mets gave 185 plate appearances all season to position players with on-base percentages lower than .300. This month alone, they’ve given 183 plate appearances to position players with on-base percentages below .300. That’s based on their season lines so it’s hardly a perfect way to make this point (and Ike Davis, one of 2012’s sub-.300 culprits, has been one of their best hitters this month). Last year, none of their top 11 contributors finished with an OBP below .320. This year, more than half of them might. Again — arbitrary endpoints and not perfect, but that’s essentially what’s happening here. The 2012 Mets’ on-base percentage has gotten worse every month. So now, with the team getting on at a futile .309 clip in August, pitchers can work around the few guys who might do damage with one swing. David Wright has been intentionally walked five times this month and has yet to homer. Ruben Tejada leads the team in extra-base hits in August. They stopped getting on base and they stopped scoring runs. Not a coincidence.

Is that lethargy, or is that a lack of good players? Maybe a little from Column A, a little from Column B. I don’t know and I’m not sure it matters. Players who fade down the stretch — whether due to packing it up or lacking it entirely — will see their season stat lines and their team’s perception of them suffer. It’s part of the building process: The Mets work to determine which players look like parts of their next contender and which they should cast off. That should — and probably does — happen primarily on the field, but certainly it happens out of sight too.

Step back from this misery and take stock of what we’ve learned: Before this season, neither the Mets nor their fans could know what to expect from Ike Davis coming off injury, from Daniel Murphy playing second, from Ruben Tejada as an everyday shortstop, from David Wright after the worst year of his career, from Lucas Duda in right field, and from Kirk Nieuwenhuis and Jordany Valdespin in the Major Leagues. Uncertainty dominates baseball and everything, but we will enter 2013 with a much better understanding of which positions the Mets can fill (or already have filled) internally and which require help from the outside. I’d say they need outfielders most of all, but then I suppose there’s still over a month left for someone else to go in the tank.

Also, before this season, many — myself included — expected the Mets would ultimately need to look outside the organization for starting pitching. The only certainty in the rotation appeared to be Mike Pelfrey’s 200 mediocre innings. Now we know R.A. Dickey and Jon Niese are fine building blocks for a rotation, we suspect Matt Harvey is a real and possibly very good big-leaguer, and we’re fairly certain Johan Santana will pitch again. Actually, if Santana and Dillon Gee show up to Spring Training healthy — far from a safe bet, of course — the Mets could open camp with their Major League and Triple-A starting rotations looking reasonably flush. Dickey, Niese, Harvey and a healthy Santana and Gee make a fine first five, with Collin McHugh and Jeremy Hefner around for depth in Triple-A or the bullpen and Zack Wheeler, Jeurys Familia and Jenrry Mejia ironing out the kinks in Buffalo with eyes on midseason openings in the big-league rotation. And that’s without the team bringing back Pelfrey or Chris Young.

While it’s true that no team can ever have too much pitching, the Mets will need to give something to get something this offseason and starting pitching suddenly looks like an organizational strength. I did not see that coming.

Part of the process, though, right?

Yes, as Cerrone and Alderson agree, the Mets need an infusion of productive players. They should go about getting some, using the resources and knowledge they’ve gained from this season. And since they’re not on the brink of certain contention, they should aim to get players that can help them win games in 2014 and 2015 instead of just spending money on some old dude for the sake of it. And next offseason, the Mets should use the resources and knowledge they’ve gained from 2013 to infuse themselves with even more productive players at the positions they need, and so on.

As for their attitudes? I’m less concerned. It seems pretty rare that guys become productive players in the big-leagues without winning attitudes, or at least the potential for them. Certainly some guys can seem like prima donnas at times or fold up under duress, but I don’t imagine it takes much more than good players to foster good attitudes across the clubhouse. Spirals of awful negativity like this one could probably be avoided if the team were better at hitting and pitching and fielding and base-running.

Sandy Alderson suggests Mets will win more games with better players

We need an infusion of players — productive players.

Sandy Alderson on WFAN, yesterday.

Well that’s definitely true. An infusion of productive players would help the Mets a lot.

I’m generally content to enjoy all the baseball I can during regular seasons — even lost ones — and concern myself more with the offseason when the offseason comes. Alderson should be and probably is looking toward the offseason now, seeing which players will be available and how the team can be improved. But since there’ll be no shortage of that talk in November, I figure I might as well get my actual-baseball fix before the sport packs it in for the winter.

That said, I sure hope Alderson’s looking at outfielders that might be on the market and figuring out how to get them without sacrificing too much elsewhere. I’d mention the bullpen but I figure he’s already heard that enough from the guy at the bagel store.

Binghamton stuff

Some notes from a swift trip to the 607:

– Wilmer Flores’ double to deep right-center had to be the highlight of the B-Mets’ 1-0 win over the New Hampshire Fisher Cats. I’m (for the millionth time) no scout, but I enjoy watching Flores hit the ball. By aesthetics, at least, he has a really nice swing, and he hits the ball harder than you’d expect from a guy who looks young even by 21-year-old standards.

Flores played second base on Tuesday night. He looked OK there but didn’t get a ton of chances. Flores says he feels most comfortable at third base, but everything I heard from people who have been watching him suggested he’s been at least passable at second and first this year in his first season off shortstop. If he can hang at second, he should at least have a Major League career. He just turned 21 a couple of weeks ago, so there’s plenty of time for him.

– B-Mets’ pitching coach Glenn Abbott is a great talker. Abbott, a veteran of 11 Major League seasons and an Arkansan with a bouncy twang, shared some stories from his 40-plus year career in baseball. Among the highlights: Abbott was the pitching coach for the Huntsville Stars in the Southern League in 1994 when Michael Jordan played for the Birmingham Barons.

Abbott intimated that Jordan was known as something of an easy out (he hit .202 with a .289 OBP, after all) but a tireless worker. Jordan apparently showed up early every day — including on the road — to work on base running and playing the outfield. Michael Jordan, the best athlete of his generation, just started playing baseball one year and was good enough to be a bad but not inconceivably bad hitter at Double-A — a level at which baseball players are impossibly good by normal human standards. That on its own is impressive. But it’s somehow both incredible and not at all surprising to learn that Jordan brought his remarkable competitiveness to the sport. Jordan, with three NBA MVP awards on his mantel, left basketball to essentially become Rudy for a year.

– Greg Peavey threw seven shutout innings to earn the win for the B-Mets. I don’t know from Peavey, but his fastball sat around 93 on the stadium gun and he didn’t seem to have much trouble throwing his breaking ball to both sides of the plate for strikes. His stats say he hasn’t struck out many hitters above low-A ball, but he did fan six in the game. And Peavey’s shown great control in his first two Minor League seasons. He has a 5.13 ERA for the year, but he’s only 23 and I wonder if he’s the type of guy who could dial up his fastball a bit (and tally more strikeouts) and prove effective in a relief role down the road.

– Before the game, we stopped at Lupo’s Char-Pit — as we did last year — on Catsmeat’s advice. I got a chicken spiedie, which looked like this:

A spiedie is just chunks of marinated, char-grilled meat on a soft, split-top white roll. It tastes like a summer barbecue: Hot and fresh, simple and delicious. There’s some barbecue sauce and hot sauce on the counter f you want it — and I do. But the meat’s the focus here, as it should be.

– My hotel room had a Speakman Anystream shower head. It is the best type of shower head. They come in a few different shapes and sizes, but in my experience they’re consistently great across the board. At my first apartment in Brooklyn we had terrible water pressure, so I went into a local hardware store and asked the dude if there was anything I could do about it. He took me to a back room — no joke — and sold me a Speakman Anystream with its flow restrictor removed. Thing was like a tsunami. I brought it home and put it on our shower without telling my roommate about it, so when he turned on the water later the blast nearly took his arm off.

I know no one asked, but I really can’t say enough about how great this thing is. I’m not a paid Speakman spokesman or anything; it’s just incontrovertible fact. Look at all the glowing reviews on Amazon. This is what the Speakman Anystream in my hotel room looked like:

Programming note

I’m traveling this morning so things will be slow here for a while. Taco Bell Tuesday may or may not come later; it depends on traffic and if I can find any more Taco Bell items of note when I do get set up.

For now, enjoy this episode of The Sandwich Show, which I think got buried in the theme switch: