David Wright now being David Wright

I’ll have more on the Mets in a bit, but while working on that I took a gander at David Wright’s season stats, fresh off his two-homer day in Baltimore.

Wright now has a .906 OPS, precisely .001 off his career .907 mark. His park- and league-adjusted OPS+ is 141, exactly the same as it was in 2008. He has not played in as favorable an offensive environment — probably due to some combination of Citi Field, the early season weather and a general downturn in offense around the league — but he is producing at exactly the same rate he did in 2008, back when he was everyone’s hero.

The major difference, of course, is the strikeout total. He is striking out in 27.8% of his plate appearances for the season, a significant uptick over his 18.1% career rate and even the 22.7% mark he posted last year. We can point to the most recent stretch to show hope that they’re tailing off — Wright has struck out only 19.6% of the time in June and 16.4% of the time since his recent hot streak started on May 30 — but that, of course, assumes all the risks inherent in isolating small sample sizes by arbitrary endpoints.

Wright has looked awesome at the plate lately, jumping on pitches early in the count and seemingly not bailing out from curveballs on the inside part of the plate so often. Of course, players always look good when they’re hitting well.

But Wright should look awesome because Wright is awesome. Remember that he’s proven to be one of the very best players in the game over the course of his career, and though the strikeouts are worrisome, there’s really no reason to believe Wright will be anything short of excellent moving forward.

5 thoughts on “David Wright now being David Wright

  1. Quick point: the reason for Met fans’ concerns was that only 2 weeks ago (May 29) his OPS was down to .811, with a .244 average and strikeouts in more than 30% of his PAs. The recent hot streak you refer to has suddenly reverted him to his career norms, and should quiet the critics (for now).

    • But thats thepoint of Teds post…. that you cant look at small sample sizes and slumps and hot streaks. Over time, good players will generally average out to what they usually produce, as is the case with David currently.

      • Until they don’t. How much is Andruw Jones going for these days? You only know after the fact whether the bad times were a temporary anomaly or a permanent downturn. But I do agree with the general point, fans shouldn’t panic on May 29 just because their young star is hitting 244 and striking out all the time, he’ll probably revert to form.

  2. Breaking pitches away have been a problem for Wright going on a while now. I saw him lay off three good ones this weekend.

    While they weren’t coming out of the hands of masters of the art, that, almost as much as the result of his swings, made me think he’s going better then he has in a while.

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