Oof

From the beginning, the tale seemed to skirt the edges of the possible — a mountain lion reported to be stalking the wilds of Greenwich, Conn., seen near fancy private schools and busy roadways. But the sightings were confirmed in early June by paw prints, photographs and animal droppings, and then, more dramatically, by the lean body of a 140-pound male creature killed by a sport utility vehicle on the Wilbur Cross Parkway in Milford on June 11.

The aftermath was even more surprising. On Tuesday, in what state officials termed “amazing news,” they said that the Connecticut Cougar had made its way east from the Black Hills of South Dakota and that genetic testing matched samples of an animal confirmed as having been in Wisconsin and Minnesota.

That means that the animal traveled more than 1,500 miles to Connecticut, more than twice as far as the longest dispersal pattern ever recorded for a mountain lion.

Peter Applebome, N.Y. Times.

For some reason, reading this article made me disproportionately sad. Such an amazing story: a mountain lion travels 1,500 miles from South Dakota to Connecticut (in search of a mate, the article says). Then it gets hit by some guy’s SUV. Brutal.

The human element

The stupid, stupid Braves took a walk-off victory over the lovable, upstart Pirates in the 19th inning last night on this call. No doubt you know about it already because the Internet is on fire this morning. What’s to be done about these terrible umpires?

Umpire Jerry Meals admitted, upon viewing the replay, that he blew the call. He said he thought Pirates catcher Michael McKenry missed the tag, so he ruled Julio Lugo safe. So that sucks. It sucks for the Pirates and their fans, most of all, but it sucks for Meals and it sucks for baseball to have an otherwise awesome game end on an umpiring mistake.

But I am still not convinced that umpiring is getting worse. I’ve been through this before. Why would it be? Has there been a massive overhaul in personnel? Have the standards for umpires slipped? The players are getting better, the executives shrewder. Every other aspect of baseball, we think, is improving as the game is honed and sharpened with time. Why would just this one be systematically decaying?

All games are broadcast in high definition now, with more camera angles and HD super slow-mo replay. We notice more umpiring mistakes because we have the technology with which to see them. Plays that we might have shrugged off as close calls five years ago we now know to be wrong and cite as evidence in the case for robot umpires.

Plus, there’s confirmation bias at play. We have decided that umpiring has gotten worse, so every time a bad call is made, we say, “oh, another bad call! Man, the umpiring has sucked this year!” But as far as I know there’s no good way to prove that the quality of umpiring actually has changed, since there’s no way to retroactively watch games from the 50s in HD with all these camera angles.

(I am open to this possibility, though I’m probably letting my imagination run wild here: It could be that the new technologies have put so much pressure on umpires that they now overthink calls like the one last night, in which the ball beat Lugo to the plate by several feet.)

Of course, that’s immaterial. Even if it has always been this way, it can still be improved. There’s no reason to hamper the game any more than it should be by the human element, and if there’s a way to conveniently add a replay official to clear up close calls in an efficient manner, so be it.

But — and I think this came up in the comments section here before — expanding replay in baseball exposes the league to some rather nefarious possibilities. Unlike those in the NFL, most baseball broadcasts are handled by regional sports networks in contract with teams. Those networks stand to benefit if the teams they cover succeed. I’ve seen the way things work inside regional sports networks and I don’t imagine such conspiracies would exactly run rampant, but expanding replay in the game would mean putting some small element of how the game is judged into partial hands.

And last I checked, robots can’t even make pancakes or fold laundry. Screaming about this stuff is great fun, I realize, but for now, maybe it’s best we all settle down, accept that humans mess stuff up constantly, and start coming up with real, feasible solutions.

Johan Santana about to do stuff

The Mets announced yesterday that Johan Santana will make a rehab start in Port St. Lucie tomorrow, which is awesome because it means we’re that much closer (fingers crossed) to seeing Johan Santana do stuff.

Color me surprised, and still a bit skeptical. Shoulder surgeries like the one Santana endured tend to be pretty damning for pitchers, and though Santana is his own unique, strong, fiercely competitive snowflake, it’s hard to imagine the remainder of his rehab proceeding without any hiccups given the precedents.

But we can hope, of course. Watching Johan Santana pitch, with or without his good fastball, has been one of the great joys of being a Mets fan the last few years. And if this September won’t feature meaningful games, it’d be nice if it could feature Santana — not to mention give the team some idea of what to expect from Santana moving forward.

I know I said I was ignoring this…

But Patrick Flood takes a much more detailed look at what the Mets can expect in return for Carlos Beltran and comes to a pretty similar conclusion to the one I reached last week. Only his version has a lot more substance. I fear many Mets fans may have set their hopes unreasonably high based on the first reports that leaked out about the team’s demands. But the other thing is, we’ll find out really soon one way or the other.

Just a friendly reminder that dogs, though awesome, are almost unutterably gross no matter what you feed them

People are going to fancy butchers to buy grass-fed dog food. This is a trend; I have noticed plenty of gourmet and high-end products available for pampering dogs. And dogs are awesome, so I don’t want to stop people from treating their dogs like royalty. But I would like to remind you:

1) Dogs eat or attempt to eat practically everything that falls on the ground.
2) Dogs roll around in dirt.
3) Dogs lick their own asses.
4) Dogs seem inordinately concerned with other dogs’ asses.

Dogs are totally gross. You can feed them Peter Luger steak sauteed in white-truffle butter with caviar, but that’s not going to keep them away from other dogs’ asses. Nothing will. The good parts of having a dog outweigh the bad, but the bad part is accepting that you’re welcoming a disgusting animal into your home.

Jets might get the second-best cornerback in the league because he wants to be an actor

An actor!

If you haven’t heard, the NFL offseason is ON! NFL Offseason Free Agent Frenzy 2K11, presented by Dodge.

The league’s hype machine is so overwhelming that I usually avoid most football talk until actual football starts, but the thought of Nnamdi Asomugha lined up across the field from Darrelle Revis is tantalizing, even in July with real baseball games happening. I don’t know if I buy that it will happen for love of theater and not love of money, but then I don’t know the man.

Mike Salfino has been on this one for a while.

What does that defense look like? It’s almost hard to conceive, and I’m so long out of the football mindset that I probably need to think on it some more. It’d be a sight to behold, I imagine. You still need someone to handle the middle of the field, though.

Justin Turner: A starter?

Over at Amazin’ Avenue, Eric Simon examines Justin Turner’s rookie season. While the conclusion makes sense — Turner should be relegated to the bench with Daniel Murphy starting at second and Lucas Duda at first — I’d add a couple of points to defend our man Turner:

First, though Turner’s batting average on balls in play may have been extremely high before June, it was also extremely low in June, and now back up in July. Across the largest possible sample — the whole season — it’s a very reasonable .312; these things have a way of evening out.

Turner’s .277/.343/.365 line does not appear to be aided by luck, and is in fact slightly better than the Major League average .256/.319/.379 mark for second basemen in 2011. By wOBA, Turner has been right around the middle of the pack of second basemen with more than 300 plate appearances.

Of course, the idea is to have good hitters at every position, not just average ones. And if Murphy can capably field the keystone, the Mets might very well have that in house. But Turner — based on his first half-season, at least — appears more than adequate in a utility role or filling the short half of a platoon at second.

That’s worth something. Remember how we all went on and on about how teams should be able to find a cost-controlled guy for the Alex Cora job that’s better than Alex Cora so they don’t have to pay Alex Cora? Here you go: Justin Turner.

And yeah, I realize that saying a guy is better than Alex Cora is pretty much the definition of damning with faint praise, plus none of this contradicts any of what Simon said in his original post. I guess I’m saying we should be thankful that the Mets are now in a situation wherein we can legitimately argue that a 26-year-old second baseman with an above-average OPS for his position should be benched, because it shows how quickly the new administration (and the last one in its final days) have worked to foster organizational depth.

I’d still give Turner some starts against lefties to keep him in the mix, though he hasn’t demonstrated any platoon split to speak of. I’ll add that it’s funny how first impressions work: It seems like there are a lot of Mets fans ready to anoint Turner second-baseman-for-life and send Duda packing on the next bus to Buffalo.