Something actually happens: Mets cut guys

The Mets cut eight players today. Adam Rubin has the unofficial list.

No big surprises here. Dillon Gee heads to Buffalo, securing Chris Capuano’s spot as the fifth starter. Ryota Igarashi, Boof Bonser and Taylor Tankersley were three of the four longest shots in my Mets bullpen odds post, and I don’t think anyone ever seriously figured Jason Pridie, Russ Adams, Raul Chavez or Dusty Ryan for opening the season with the big-league club. In fact, depending on how the Major League roster shakes out I’m not even certain any of those guys will be everyday players in Buffalo.

The bigger news, I suppose, is the guys that weren’t cut: Oliver Perez and Luis Castillo hang on, but more importantly to this blog at this moment, our horse in the second-base race Justin Turner gets to stick around for at least another day or two. It seemed a fait accompli — at least among the team’s beat writers — that Turner would be cut this morning.

I imagine some fans and nearly all media will find it frustrating that the team hasn’t yet pared down the second-base competition, but, well, whatever. Stepping back from it, I’d rather the assorted decision-makers take their time and make the right choice than haphazardly stick Luis Hernandez in the spot because he has looked good over the past week.

So we beat on, etc.

A number of people have pointed out to me, incidentally, that since Brad Emaus is a Rule 5 guy and Turner has options, the Mets should keep Emaus around and extend his audition into the season, knowing they have Turner stashed in Triple-A as a fallback option.

I don’t think that’s a terrible plan. My case for Turner is only that his Triple-A stats from 2010 are, due to park and league factors, more impressive than Emaus’, and it doesn’t seem like most Mets fans appreciate that.

Twitter Q&A-style product

Something to do to keep me working and not just sitting at my desk watching basketball all day:

Nuts? No. Optimistic? Probably.

I’ve liked Young since he was a stalwart for the Gary (Indiana) Templetons, my old fantasy team, in 2004. But his fastball averaged under 85 mph last year and the reports this spring have him in a similar range. He still has time to build up arm strength, but it’s hard to imagine a righty with that type of velocity and his standard 50-percent flyball rate being able to keep the ball in the park — even if it’s Citi Field — as often as Young did in his four-start stint at the end of 2010.

Still, success would not be unprecedented. Fellow righty Livan Hernandez enjoyed a decent season in 2010 while throwing an average fastballs below 84 mph. But Young has the additional hurdle in his injury history. He’s supposedly a smart pitcher and a great competitor, for whatever those are worth. (NOTE: This paragraph originally said Ted Lilly was also a soft-tossing righty. But he is a soft-tossing lefty who just got jumbled up in my head.)

Of course, speculating if Young will be the second-best pitcher on the Mets begs the question: Who will be the best pitcher on the Mets? Based on 2010, you’d have to say Dickey. But awesome though he is and with all the caveats about being relatively knew to the knuckler, Dickey only has one good season under his belt. Mike Pelfrey probably is who he is at this point: A decent but unspectacular innings-eater. Jon Niese should improve off his rookie season. To me, it’s hard to pick a clear favorite.

I have never been to In-N-Out. In fact, I have been to 40 of the 50 states, but never California. I hope to rectify both at some point this year.

That said, I’d probably say Five Guys is the best burger chain. McDonald’s is basically the definition of replacement-level: passable, inexpensive, available. White Castle I happen to love, but I know that’s a controversial stance. Plus those don’t even count as burgers to me. They’re White Castle burgers, and that’s a whole different thing.

Burger King is the worst. I recognize there’s a chance I’m biased because of a couple of particularly bad Burger Kings — most notably the atrocious one in Farmingdale, N.Y. near where my band used to practice — but every time I eat there I feel sick. Grosses me out, and I have a pretty strong stomach for these things (See: the Taco Bell tab).

There are some regional burger chains that need to be considered, though. The butter-belt staple Culver’s serves some pretty amazing burgers. And Good Times, in Colorado, is one of the best fast food places I’ve ever enjoyed.

Honestly, it’s surprisingly easy now that I feel like the team is actually being run with the goal of sustainable success in mind. And I know there’s a lot of doom-and-gloom fire-sale stuff in the papers, but I’ll believe the Mets will be forced to trade David Wright to cut payroll when I see them trade David Wright to cut payroll.

I think baseball allows most fans a healthy dose of optimism, even while remaining grounded in reality. Hell, look what happened last year: The Giants, with a lineup full of old-ass men who were never even that great to begin with, won the World Series. Yeah, they had great pitching. They also had a ton of little things fall their way. That happens sometimes.

Doesn’t mean, of course, that a team shouldn’t position itself as best it can by putting together the best possible roster. It looks like the Mets (fingers crossed) are trying to do that, hanging on to young players, managing for the near- and long-term, paying attention to the margins. On paper, are they good enough to win it all? Not really. But were the Giants last March? Were the Cardinals in 2006?

So yeah, right now I’m still holding out hope for a surprise playoff appearance. When that doesn’t happen, I’ll fall back on productive seasons from the young players that now appear to be part of the team’s next core group.

All the damn time. I’ve even spoken to a literary agent a couple of times. The biggest hold-up is I can’t come up with a suitable topic that would sustain my interest for the length of time it would require to write a book. For first-time and relatively unknown authors, publishing houses want ideas that are guaranteed to sell — the type of thing you’d get your dad on father’s day 2013. All my ideas are a bit too spacy, it seems. And I don’t want to write a book about something that doesn’t really interest me just for the sake of writing a book. I’m still thinking, though.

The other problem is I currently hunch in front of a computer all day for work. And I’ve got some pretty heavy back and neck issues. Though I’m vain as anything and I’d love to see my name on a book jacket, it’s hard to imagine coming home from work and getting right back in front of a computer for several more hours. That’s what my TV is for.

I’d put my money down on Beltran still. As frustrating as it is to follow along with the outfielder’s seemingly very slow rehab process, Santana is so far off and shoulder surgery is so very tough for pitchers to come back from. Fun fact: I’m the one who set the April 21 over-under that Matt Cerrone used for MetsBlog. It was a total guess, but it’s my total guess.

Punk kid steals my idea

A 13-year-old Ohio kid is selling scented candles aimed at men. I swear I’ve been pitching this to anyone willing to listen for years. Not only that, but he used two of my go-to suggested manly scents: sawdust and bacon. If he hasn’t yet, he should also make one that smells like fire. Crazy meta, plus a good smell. (And yeah, technically fire smells like whatever is burning, but you know what I’m saying.)

Wherefore art thou, Jeff Francoeur?

Well here’s something vaguely interesting:

The Mets’ most experienced right fielder, by far, will start in center field on Opening Day. Angel Pagan has played 538 1/3 innings in right field over 90 Major League games, and a handful more in the Minors.

After Pagan, the Mets’ next most experienced right fielder is Willie Harris, who never played the position in the Minors but has totaled 230 1/3 innings over 45 Major League games at the spot. After that, there’s a huge dropoff.

Baseball-reference.com doesn’t list Minor League innings totals in positions, so I’ve listed the outfielders in Mets camp by professional games played — Major and Minor League — in right. Keep in mind that Harris only has 24 starts at the position, but he did play a bunch of outfield in the Minors (apparently) before people started keeping track of which outfield spots guys were playing, so he may have more time out there. Hence the asterisk. Same goes for Scott Hairston, though both players were primarily infielders in their Minor League days.

I’ve excluded Pagan and Jason Bay, since they are starting in the other outfield positions. Bay, incidentally, has one Major League game in right. His Minor League days also aren’t tracked by outfield positions, but it’s probably worth noting that he played in one game at second base.

Not really sure if this matters at all, just thought it, like I said, vaguely interesting. Citi Field’s right field is a reasonably demanding spot, and the Mets will most likely be trotting someone out there without much experience.

A lot of the talk suggests Scott Hairston will be the man if Beltran has to start the season on the DL. And though Hairston has proven a good defensive outfielder in center and left, he has not played much in right at all.

Guy Professional games in right field
Willie Harris 45*
Nick Evans 14
Lucas Duda 9
Scott Hairston 8*
Carlos Beltran 3

Is TedQuarters True SABR?

Today my sabermetric writing lies behind me rather than ahead, and I think I am about ready to say, “Farewell to Stats.”

For a whole generation of fans and fantasy players, stats have begun to outstrip story and that seems to me a sad thing. Even the unverifiable hogwash that passed for fact or informed opinion in baseball circles not so long ago seems today wistfully enticing, for its energy if nothing else.

John Thorn, MLB Official Historian.

I don’t get it. Why does understanding the way we quantify baseball necessarily strip the sport of its good stories? I’ll amount that I find a good deal (but certainly not all) of the extremely stat-heavy baseball writing boring. But it seems lazy, to me, to turn to “unverifiable hogwash” just because it makes for a more enjoyable story.

I generally avoid mission statements, but on this site I try to write about the things that actually happen and matter in baseball, and present them in an entertaining fashion. It is a challenge and I don’t always succeed, I know. But I would rather strive for that ideal and fail — knowing that at the very least I’m not filling readers’ heads up with fallacious nonsense — than write pretty, fluffy stories attached to nothing substantive.

Is this a sabermetric blog? I’ve never called it that, but I’ve been accused of it on Twitter for sure. And I don’t really care one way or the other, because I’m not even sure what that means. The baseball writing on this site is informed by the way I watch baseball, which is in turn informed by the stats I sometimes look up on the Internet.