Friday Q&A, pt. 3: The randos

https://twitter.com/Ceetar/status/246601797068795904

Whoa.

Also, click over to Ceetar’s blog for the craft-beer stuff you’ll never get here.

https://twitter.com/IanBinMD/status/246604851797188609

The latter and it’s not even close. The Jets/Giants needling always just seems silly to me, since clearly the “New York” in their team names refers to the city, not the state, and East Rutherford is very much part of the New York City metropolitan area.

The Brooklyn thing is funny mostly because I’ve met a shocking number of people who actually live in Brooklyn and don’t even know that it’s true, and it’s just absolutely baffling to me that someone could ever move someplace without being able to locate it on a map. Plus I’ve got a lot of Long Island pride, in large part because I’m a troll and I know a lot of Long Island natives try to hide it or pretend they’re from someplace cooler. C’mon guys. There’s no place better for beaches and delis and good old-fashioned brodowns.

https://twitter.com/daxmontana4/status/246614412893499392

I don’t know; I’ve never really been a man of slight to medium build. Plus typically I don’t coordinate Halloween costumes with my wife or anyone, so I’ve never really tried thinking about funny group costumes besides the A-Team. Maybe your family could go as the A-Team, with the baby as B.A.?

I always just pick a different funny mustache man. I’ve been Burt Reynolds, Wilford Brimley and Magnum P.I. in the not-too-distant past. I really need a good skintight one-piece chessboard bodysuit so I can be Freddie Mercury already. Also, I should probably drop a few pounds first.

Have you considered being Kurt Cobain, Courtney Love and the naked swimming baby from the cover of the Nevermind album? Might be cold for the kid though, depending on where you live. Also, you need a swimming pool. Just brainstorming here.

 

Friday Q&A, pt. 2: Food stuff

https://twitter.com/_KD13/status/246609461026893825

People ask the last-meal question with some frequency. My thing is: Why is this my last meal? Am I on death row for some reason? What’d I do? Is it an Armageddon scenario, in which my drilling skills are needed to save the world but I know I might die in the process? In either case, it’s going to be emotional, and it’s hard to say right now from the relative comforts of my desk how I’d feel when pressed to choose my last meal. And it’s hard to imagine a situation wherein I knew I was about to die and I’d be particularly hungry for anything at all.

That said, I know what Taco Bell tastes like and, awesome as it is, I’d want the world’s greatest burrito — especially if you could guarantee me that it is in fact the world’s greatest burrito. Really, if I didn’t have a family that loves me and sometimes depends on me for stuff, I might even volunteer to die in exchange for one of the world’s greatest burritos provided it came with the assurance that it is definitely, without question, the best burrito that has ever been served in the world. Because after that, what more do you have do live for anyway?

https://twitter.com/JeffSposato/status/246620292091371520

Oh man; there are so many delicious cured meats. I mean, bacon obviously, but after that it’s pretty much wide open. How about we narrow this down to criminally underrated Italian cured meats? In that case, it’s pancetta, capicola and soppressata. Everyone’s always all up in arms over prosciutto and how great it is, and I mean no disrespect to prosciutto because it’s pretty great, but it’s so expensive for what you get and due to its texture it’s really not ideal for sandwiches.

Next time you’re planning to buy salami, get soppressata instead. If they offer a choice, get the spicy kind. You’ll thank me later.

https://twitter.com/jenconnic/status/246604344982654976

Sure. Jen’s asking about this instagrammed turkey burger, which I enjoyed for dinner last night. It was my wife’s idea. She made the tsatziki from a recipe she found online — I think this one — because Greek yogurt was on sale at Fairway. For the burgers, I just added two chopped-up cloves of garlic and some salt and pepper to a pound of ground turkey, mashed it all together and separated it into four burgers. I grilled them and put ’em on toasted whole-wheat challah rolls with lettuce, tomato, cucumber, tsatziki and some sriracha.

Friday Q&A, pt. 1: Mets stuff

Wait, no stops at all? Because even if I limit my coffee and water intake I can only do at most like five or six hours between bathroom breaks. Plus if I’m driving all the way to Port St. Lucie I’m probably going to want to look up good places to eat along the way, and I’m generally willing to drive a little bit out of the way to eat better food than what’s available on the side of I-95.

In any case, it’s Kevin Mitchell. That’s a long drive, and you’re going to want someone who can keep things interesting. Mitchell seems like the right mix of crazy and well-traveled to have great stories to pass the time. I’d say Carl Everett for similar reasons, but I’ve known people who don’t believe dinosaurs existed (really) and I get incredibly frustrated when they’re around and topic comes up — and I just assume it would at some point on a 20-something-hour road trip. So I suppose I’d have to confirm that Mitch believes in dinosaurs before we set out. Bonus points because I suspect Kevin Mitchell appreciates good Southern barbecue as much as I do.

I’d also consider Tsuyoshi Shinjo, despite whatever language barrier may exist. I assume we could find ways to communicate, and his presence alone would be endlessly entertaining. And I’d totally be willing to be Shinjo’s wingman if we stopped at a nightclub or something.

https://twitter.com/Section518/status/246607341443751939

Bossman Junior. It’s one of my favorite things about B.J. Upton.

Via email, Evan writes:

Watching [Carlos] Beltran do stuff like this as well as just maintaining his general all around awesomeness makes me wish the Mets had given some more thought to resigning him after last year, especially considering the way their outfield situation has played out. I realize hindsight is 20-20 and all, but his contract looks like a steal and his talent is well beyond what seems available in free agent outfielders this offseason. Selfish Beltran not providing Sandy with time travel capabilities to inform his free agent signing decisions. Seriously though, did they ever consider resigning him last year?

I have no idea, but I don’t think so. Remember that the Mets had a very limited offseason budget and a whole lot of money already tied up in one veteran corner outfielder — Jason Bay — with most of us pretty excited about Lucas Duda’s bat in the other corner. I, too, wish the Mets had Beltran this year, if only because I very much enjoy watching Carlos Beltran play baseball. But he wouldn’t have made the difference between these Mets and a winning team.

This much I hope: 1) Beltran, who has struggled recently and been unironically accused of failing the struggling Cardinals in the clutch — classic Beltran-blaming — goes berserk and cements St. Louis’ postseason bid over the next few weeks, then does typical Carlos Beltran stuff in the playoffs. I know as a Mets fan I’m not supposed to root for the Cardinals, but for me it’s Beltran uber alles.

2) Beltran enjoys another strong season with the Cardinals in 2013. When his contract expires after the season, the Mets — still in need of outfielders and power hitters but finally free of Bay’s salary — bring Beltran back on a two-year deal. He performs admirably in 2014, then enjoys a swansong season in 2015. He leads the Mets to the World Series, then hits a walk-off grand slam in Game 7, flips everybody off and retires. Five years later, he enters the Hall of Fame in a Mets jersey.

Two from Chris because he asks good questions.

OK, I’ll bite: Torres yes, Thole yes, Acosta no, Pelfrey maybe, Johnson no.

Torres hasn’t been great for the Mets, but he’s got value in that he’s a switch hitter, he’s performed well from the right-handed side of the plate, and he’s excellent on defense. I don’t think they should plan on him starting in the outfield next year, but they’re so short on outfielders that they could probably use him as a reserve or platoon guy. A lot of this depends on the budget, though: If they’re absolutely strapped for cash, the money it will cost to keep Torres may be better spent elsewhere.

Thole’s too young and, as a lefty-hitting catcher who can get on base, potentially too valuable to just let walk for nothing. I know he’s had an awful season and a lot of Mets fans seem near done with him. Whatever. Look at the catchers in the Mets’ system and the free-agent market for catchers. There just aren’t many obvious better options who might be parts of the team’s next contender. He’s not likely to earn much in arbitration anyway. The concussion stuff is scary so they would be well-served to hedge their bets a bit with a decent righty-hitting backup or two (Kelly Shoppach would be good), but Thole should be back. Always go with the biggest sample: There’s still more evidence that Thole can hit like a Major League catcher than that he can’t.

Acosta has quietly been very good in his most recent stint with the big club, but, really, what’s the market going to be like for Manny Acosta this offseason? It’s hard to imagine him getting a guaranteed deal coming off a 7-plus ERA season, and if he does, you know… peace out. If he doesn’t, bring him back on a Minor League deal and stash him in Triple-A until late July when he randomly gets good every year.

Pelfrey’s a tough call. Since the Mets actually have starting-pitching depth to some extent, it seems like he’s got more value elsewhere. But it also seems like it’d be tough to trade him while he’s still recovering from Tommy John surgery, though certainly that has happened before. Most reports suggest the Mets will not tender Pelfrey a contract but could try to bring him back on a less expensive deal, but I wonder if that’s even possible.

Last year, the Mets had to guarantee Chris Capuano $1.5 million and load up his contract with incentives and he hadn’t pitched a full season since 2006. The A’s gave Ben Sheets $10 million before 2010 after he missed all of 2009. With Pelfrey’s history of good health, the relative reliability of Tommy John surgery, pitching being pitching, and Pelfrey’s affiliation with Scott Boras, it seems possible he’d get as much on the open market as he would in arbitration, and eminently likely that if he’s non-tendered he’ll get a better deal elsewhere than he will with the Mets. I have no idea if I’m reading this one right so I’m interested to see how it plays out. And, again, it all depends on how much money the Mets have to play with. But I’m leaning toward thinking they should tender him a contract, assuming they’ll either have a need in the rotation when he’s ready or be able to trade him for something if they don’t. Also — and this will sicken some Mets fans, I know — I still kind of like the idea of Big Pelf in the bullpen.

Given the uncertainty surrounding Thole, it’d be good if they entered 2013 with better hitting Triple-A catchers than Rob Johnson. Easier said than done, I know, but please: Give it a shot.

Late October.

Requiem for a mustache

Kevin Gilbride’s mustache, a legendary lip adornment that won two Super Bowl championships and was respected as one of the most enduring examples of responsible facial hair in sports, died last month in a shaving accident at the Giants’ practice facility here. It was believed to be about 41.

Sam Borden, N.Y. Times.

Sam’s a friend of the site, but this important item of journalism would be linked here even if he were its oldest enemy. With this, the “no play for Mr. Gray” thing and her obvious appreciation of me, the Gray Lady is really cutting loose lately. Someone cue up a Shelley reference before the paper’s reputation collapses.

Mostly Mets Podcast presented by Caesars A.C.

We didn’t plan on talking about these awful Mets for two hours. I think that’s my fault. With Toby and Patrick:

[sny-libsyn url=”http://html5-player.libsyn.com/embed/episode/id/2065565/height/360/width/640/autoplay/no/autonext/no/direction/forward/thumbnail/yes”%5D

On iTunes here. Review us if you please; we’re lonely. Also, hit up the voicemail at (347) 915-METS.

Who are the good guys?

You’re probably a Mets fan, but given the team’s recent play and current record, they’re not looking like playoff contenders. I’m sorry if I’m the first one to break that to you, and ya gotta believe and everything. But assuming they’re not in the postseason mix, which of the above-.500 teams are you rooting for to win their respective leagues?

Mets Fan Experience in Atlantic City after game on Sept. 23

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After you catch the Mets at Citi Field on Sunday September 23, catch the bus to Caesars Atlantic City for an exclusive Mets Fan Experience all for $97.

Board a luxury Greyhound Lucky Streak right from Citi Field, 30 minutes after the game ends. Once in Atlantic City you’ll enjoy…

  • Overnight accommodations at Caesars Atlantic City.
  • $10 Slot play per person.
  • $10 Food and Beverage Credit per person.
  • Special Mets Fan Happy Hour at Toga Bar.

To reserve your spot by Sunday, September 16, click here.

[sny-line]

The trouble with the curve

https://twitter.com/AdamRubinESPN/status/223210758023036929

OK, a few notes first. A) Yes, this is sort of trolling, and I promised to stop that. But the way the Mets have been playing (John f@#$ing Lannan? Really?) must make trolls of much stronger men than me.

B) That quote — referring to Matt Harvey — comes from a scout texting Adam Rubin, not Rubin himself. Rubin’s merely reporting what the scout said, and just a few days later he presented more thorough and balanced scouting takes on Harvey in a forum not limited to 140 characters. I intend to troll the scout in question only.

C) The quote above came after one of Harvey’s starts in late June. And though Harvey didn’t pitch appreciably better in terms of results in his handful of Triple-A appearances after that one, perhaps he spent the month refining his secondary stuff and preparing to strike out buttloads of big-leaguers in his first turn around the Majors.

But still.

Here’s a fun thing: In Matt Harvey’s first nine Major League starts, he has 63 strikeouts. If you go through all of Pelfrey’s 149 big-league starts, isolate the nine outings in which he struck out the most batters and add up the total, you only get to 61 strikeouts. Pelfrey never at any point showed anything like the capacity to fool Major League hitters that Harvey has already demonstrated. Harvey’s tiny-sample career K/9 rate is more than twice Mike Pelfrey’s.

That’s not to hate on Pelfrey. Big Pelf, for all he’s reviled in some circles, provided the Mets nearly 900 roughly league-average innings in their starting rotation and should not really be faulted for failing to develop the swing-and-miss stuff necessary to become the front-line starter we hoped he’d be.

But that was like the main thing about Mike Pelfrey! He didn’t strike anybody out. And the main thing about Matt Harvey, so far at least, is that he strikes everybody out. That’s a massive distinction, because with the strikeouts comes the legitimate hope that Harvey can develop into a dominant starter. Matt Harvey is like Mike Pelfrey in that he is a big, hard-throwing white dude* drafted in the first round by the Mets out of college. But that’s really it.

I’m not just trying to be a jerk here. I aim to emphasize the problem with relying too heavily on anyone’s eyes to evaluate baseball players. This person, who is thought so good at watching baseball players and judging their talents that he is actually paid to do so, said in June that Matt Harvey was “Pelfrey without the split or breaking ball.” Think about that.

Again: Maybe a lot changed between late June and Harvey’s debut in late July. Maybe one very bad start colored a good scout’s perception on Harvey enough that he compared a guy a month away from a double-digit strikeout start in the Majors to Pelfrey, who never did that once. Or maybe this is one bad scout. After all… Pelfrey’s breaking ball and splitter?

In any case, it’s kind of damning. Indisputably, scouts have a ton of value in the development and evaluation of young baseball players and can very much benefit reporting on the subject. But scouts are human beings and human beings all pretty much suck at stuff. We are biased in so many ways: by our deeply ingrained cultural perspectives, by our first impressions, by our preconceived notions, by our moods, by the weather, by the quality of our breakfasts, everything. And this guy making the Pelfrey/Harvey comp should theoretically be one of the very best in the world at keeping all those biases at bay. Think of what that implies for the untrained scouting fodder you sometimes read here and elsewhere.

This is why I get frustrated when I see a lot of baseball analysis seemingly swinging back toward the subjective stuff from the hard data that came into vogue after Moneyball: All the issues inherent in relying on traditional scouting still exist. We better understand the flaws in relying too heavily on certain stats or in relying only on certain stats, but there was plenty of evidence even back in July to suggest that Harvey and Pelfrey didn’t have much in common.

Harvey’s big-league success, of course, has come across only 52 1/3 innings, a more or less insignificant sample. Maybe he’ll spend the next six years pitching exactly like Mike Pelfrey, proving this scout correct and making the previous 750 words look either silly or like a massive jinx.

All I’m saying, I guess, is that I’d recommend against taking anyone’s word for anything. Not some anonymous scout’s and certainly not mine. People are generally full of it, and Matt Harvey is sweet.

*- I don’t know anything about this particular scout, but I mention Harvey and Pelfrey’s shared whiteness because I read a ton about baseball and it’s very rare that you see an interracial scouting comparison. I suspect that if Matt Harvey were an Asian dude** — even if he still grew up in Connecticut and pitched at U.N.C. — he’d never be compared to Pelfrey.

**- I really only mention that as an especially awkward segue into a discussion of rookie pitchers and Asian dudes. Harvey’s first nine big-league starts look pretty similar to Yu Darvish’s first nine big-league starts: Tons of strikeouts, a few too many walks, not a lot of hits, good ERA. Darvish now has an extra 100+ Major League innings under his belt, plus five years’ worth of being the best pitcher in NPB history. But Darvish is two and a half years older and owed about $50 million through 2017. The Mets, I believe, should control Harvey through arbitration through 2018 if he stays in the bigs continuously. He could make more than Darvish over that time, but only if he’s good. Would you trade Harvey straight up for Darvish? Not rhetorical.